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Model picks & player props
Southampton
VS
Everton

Southampton vs Everton Picks & Predictions

Model updated Jul 28, 6:10AM UTC

Every play below is priced against our model. The bigger the green edge, the more the line is in your favour.

Soccer
Goodison Park, Liverpool
Outdoor
Sun 18 May 2025, 11:00AM
12
Game Picks
0
Player Props
Answer
Model lean: Southampton (Draw No Bet)
For Southampton vs Everton (Soccer), model win probability 46.2%, fair odds 2.17, book price +410, model edge +26.5%, this is your free pick — unlock every other market and all player props with Pro. Tip-off Sun 18 May 2025, 11:00AM at Goodison Park.
Every pick is logged and graded — nothing hidden after the fact. See the verified record

Game picks

+EV edge in green
Draw No Bet
Southampton
+410
+ 11 more markets
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Calibrated model vs market

Model prob · fair odds · edge
PickMarketModel lean
SouthamptonDraw No BetPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
NoBoth Teams to ScorePositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SouthamptonHead to HeadPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro
SouthamptonHead to Head 3-WayPositive-edge lean 🔒 Unlock with Pro

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Who's out

Injuries & availability

Southampton

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Everton

Player availability is not tracked for Soccer on this page. We only carry official injury/availability feeds for MLB, NBA, NFL and NHL.

Weather & availability impact for this fixture

Conditions · who's out · how it moves the number
For Southampton vs Everton: Soccer weather isn't a tracked factor for this fixture on our data, and player availability isn't tracked for Soccer on this page.

General rule: weather isn't a material factor for this sport in our models — availability of key players is the variable that moves the line.

Pro — weather & injury-adjusted view

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Betting angles

Markets & form
MoneylineSouthampton @ EvertonNo line posted
3-1-4H2H (last 8)
Draw32%Home form6-8-6Away form1-4-15
H2H home wins3 / 8 home

In their last 8 meetings, Everton have won 3, drawn 1 and lost 4. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Both Teams to ScoreSouthampton @ EvertonNo line posted
66%BTTS %
4 / 8H2H both scored
Everton55%Southampto60%
H2H both scored4 / 8 BTTS

Both teams scored in 55% of Everton's and 60% of Southampton's recent matches; the model prices BTTS Yes at 66% here. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Total GoalsSouthampton @ EvertonNo line posted
3 / 8H2H over 2.5
Home ov2.535%Away ov2.570%H2H avg2.3
H2H over 2.53 / 8 over

The last 8 meetings averaged 2.3 goals, over 2.5 in 3 of them. Lines reflect the most recent tracked fixture, not a live market.

Track record for this matchup

Logged & graded
4
Total Picks
—
Hit Rate

Hit rate is how often the pick landed — not profit; favourites can win often and still lose money.

DateMarketPickResult
18 May 25 Moneyline Southampton ✗ MISS
18 May 25 Both Teams to Score No ✓ HIT
18 May 25 Draw No Bet Southampton ✗ MISS
18 May 25 Head to Head (3-Way) Southampton ✗ MISS

About this matchup

How we read the game

This page tracks the Bet Better model's pick history and predictions for Southampton vs Everton in the Soccer. The most recent or upcoming game is scheduled for Sunday 18 May 2025 at Goodison Park. The model has generated 12 game picks for this matchup. Review the picks and historical data above to guide your Soccer betting strategy for this matchup.

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