Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes should be on Gui Santos and his three-point shooting. While he's had some solid outings, the data suggests we should lean towards the under on his treys made, set at 1.5. In his last five games away from home, Santos has averaged just 0.8 threes, a stark contrast to his 1.4 overall average. The Warriors have a knack for tightening up perimeter defense, and his recent form against them (just 1.5 threes in away matchups) hints that he might struggle to find his rhythm. With an overall hit rate of 2 for 3 in his last few games, the numbers show a potential decline on the road. This matchup favors the under, making it a smart play as Santos looks to navigate a tough Suns defense.

Gui Santos (Golden State Warriors) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-172)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Golden State Warriors gear up to face the Phoenix Suns, all eyes will be on Gui Santos, but it might be wise to bet against him on the boards. Despite playing away, Santos has averaged 6.4 rebounds in his last five games, but that number can be misleading. Against the Suns, he's only pulled down about 4.2 rebounds on average, and when he's away, that dips to 4.8. With the Suns boasting a strong frontcourt, Santos might find it tough to secure those boards. His recent performance echoes this trend, hitting under 5.5 rebounds in 9 of his last 13 games. The implied probability of 63.3% suggests that the books are expecting a similar outcome. Given these dynamics, placing a bet on Santos to stay under 5.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play in a matchup that could tilt in favor of the Suns' rebounding prowess.

Phoenix Suns vs Golden State Warriors : Phoenix Suns win (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

In the NBA showdown between the Phoenix Suns and Golden State Warriors, the betting pick for the Suns on the Moneyline is a well-calculated one. The Suns' home-court advantage cannot be overemphasized - their record speaks for itself. Plus, the model prediction of 0.79 adds a significant layer of confidence. We have a model edge of 9.3%, which indicates that the Suns are in a stronger position than what the market currently reflects. The implied probability of 60.6% also provides a clear advantage. Now, let's add in the Warriors' recent inconsistent form on the road which has been a concern. All these factors, coupled with the Suns' stellar performance, make the Suns a solid pick. The -153.846153846154 American Price is just the cherry on top. Get ready to rise with the Suns!

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