On Sunday 2 August 2026, Phoenix Mercury play New York Liberty in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Under 190.5 Total Points, priced at -500 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Under 190.5 Total Points (-500)

Odds available at Fanatics at time of publishing

Phoenix Mercury play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Sunday 2 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Under 190.5 Total Points. That is a total points bet. It was priced at -500 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Phoenix Mercury +12.5 on the Line (-455)

Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing

As the Phoenix Mercury gear up to face the New York Liberty at PHX Arena, there's a palpable buzz in the air-this isn't just a game; it's a clash of contrasting styles. The Mercury thrive on a fast-paced offense, which could be their ace in the hole against a Liberty team that struggles to keep up with high-tempo play. With the home crowd behind them and a desperate need for a win, expect Phoenix to push the pace from the tip-off. Our model sketches a narrow victory for the Mercury, but let's be real: they possess the firepower to exceed that projection. The Liberty's defensive lapses could allow Phoenix to pull away, especially if they catch fire from beyond the arc. Betting on the Mercury to cover 12.5 seems like a savvy play-this is their chance to establish dominance at home and make a statement against a formidable foe. It was priced at -455 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $12.20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

DeWanna Bonner Over 4.5 Rebounds (-244)

Odds available at William Hill at time of publishing

Phoenix Mercury play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Sunday 2 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is DeWanna Bonner Over 4.5 Rebounds. That is a player rebounds bet. It was priced at -244 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.10 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kahleah Copper Under 21.5 Points (-114)

Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing

Phoenix Mercury play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Sunday 2 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Kahleah Copper Under 21.5 Points. That is a player points bet. It was priced at -114 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.80 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Sabrina Ionescu Under 30.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-115)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

Phoenix Mercury play New York Liberty in the WNBA on Sunday 2 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Sabrina Ionescu Under 30.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists. That is a player points, rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. It is on at PHX Arena in Phoenix. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Phoenix Mercury v New York Liberty. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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