Hunter Brown (HOU) Over 2.5 Hits Allowed (-769)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Hunter Brown for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed (Alternate) market is a sound choice considering his recent performance data. Brown's last five games show an average of 3.4 hits allowed overall and 4 hits allowed when playing away. This is above the line set at 2.5. Furthermore, when facing the Yankees, his average hits allowed increases to 4.7. His innings pitched average is also lower against the Yankees at 4.7, compared to 6.2 overall and 6 when playing away, indicating that he tends to allow more hits in fewer innings against this team. The data suggests that Brown is more likely to allow over 2.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Yankees, making this bet a reasonable choice.

Cody Bellinger (NYY) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-909)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Cody Bellinger for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is backed by strong statistical evidence. Bellinger's recent performance shows a lack of stolen bases, with an average of only 0.2 stolen bases in his last five games overall and zero in his last five home games. Furthermore, he has not stolen any bases in his last five games against the Astros. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, stand at just two games, which doesn't provide a strong foundation for expecting a stolen base. Additionally, the absence of caught stealing (Cs) instances in recent games indicates that Bellinger is not frequently attempting to steal bases. These factors combined suggest a low likelihood of Bellinger stealing a base in the upcoming game, making the Under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

Jazz Chisholm Jr. (NYY) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Jazz Chisholm Jr.'s stolen bases is a good choice based on his past performance. His last five overall stolen base average is 0.2, which is lower than the line of 0.5. Furthermore, when playing at home, his stolen base average drops to zero, indicating he is less likely to steal bases in home games. His record against the Houston Astros also supports this bet, with an average of 0.4 stolen bases in the last five games, still below the line. Additionally, Chisholm Jr. has not been caught stealing in recent games, suggesting he may be more cautious in attempting steals. Given these statistics, the under 0.5 bet is a statistically sound choice.

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