Francisco Alvarez (NYM) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-182)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New York Mets gear up to face the Kansas City Royals, all eyes will be on Francisco Alvarez. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance at the plate, recent trends suggest he might struggle to reach that 1.5 total base mark today. The Royals’ pitching staff, particularly their starters, has found a groove lately, limiting opponents to a modest .225 batting average over their last series. Furthermore, Alvarez has been in a bit of a slump, managing only a handful of hits in his past few games, which makes the under on his total bases appealing. The Mets lineup can be potent, but against an improved Royals pitching staff, Alvarez may find it tough to capitalize. With an implied probability of 64.5% favoring the under, betting against him reaching 1.5 total bases feels like a smart move in this matchup.

Carson Benge (NYM) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-196)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the New York Mets host the Kansas City Royals, all eyes will be on Carson Benge, but betting on him to go over 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. Benge has been in a bit of a funk lately, struggling to find gaps against right-handed pitching. With the Mets’ ace on the mound, who boasts a stellar average against righties, Benge could find himself in a tight spot. The Mets’ bullpen is also no slouch, ranking among the top in the league for strikeouts per nine innings. Given Benge's recent trends and his matchup against a pitcher capable of neutralizing hitters, it’s easy to see why the under is appealing here. With an implied probability suggesting that a quiet day at the plate is likely, backing the under could keep our wallets a little heavier as the game unfolds. Expect a solid outing from the Mets’ pitchers and limited opportunities for Benge.

Bobby Witt Jr. (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Mets take on the Royals, all eyes will be on Bobby Witt Jr., but betting on him to go over 1.5 hits might be wishful thinking. The young star has shown flashes of brilliance, yet he’s struggled to find consistent contact against right-handed pitchers lately, posting a modest .220 average in his last 15 games. The Mets’ pitching staff, especially their starters, have been tough against lefties, boasting a solid 3.80 ERA at home. Add in the fact that they’ve held opposing batters to a mere .230 average, and it’s clear that Witt will face a challenging task in this matchup. With his current trend and the tough Mets’ rotation, expecting him to land over that 1.5 hits threshold feels like hoping for lightning to strike twice. Betting the under here seems like a savvy play given the circumstances.

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