Rhamondre Stevenson (NE) Over 1.5 Player receptions alternate (-333)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Rhamondre Stevenson for Over 1.5 in the 'player_receptions_alternate' market is a viable option when considering his consistent recent performance. Stevenson has hit the over in his last six games overall and his last four home games, indicating a strong trend. Furthermore, his overall hit rate of 45 out of 59 and home hit rate of 24 out of 29 shows a history of consistently achieving more than 1.5 receptions. When looking at his performance over longer periods, his hit rate remains strong. Over the last 20 games, he hit the over 12 times overall and 15 times at home. Over his last 10 games, he achieved the over 7 times in both overall and home games. This consistent performance suggests he is likely to hit over 1.5 in the upcoming game against the Houston Texans.

Austin Hooper (NE) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+650)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The statistical data does not support a bet on Austin Hooper to score a touchdown at any time in the New England Patriots vs. Houston Texans game. Hooper's historical data indicates a low scoring frequency. His overall hit rate is 4 out of 64 games, which translates to a success rate of approximately 6.25%. Specifically, at home, he has scored only once in 31 games, which is a hit rate of around 3.22%. Against the Houston Texans, either at home or away, his hit rate is 0%, as he has not scored in any of the previous games. His current hit streaks in all categories are also zero, indicating a current lack of scoring momentum. Therefore, based on this data, a bet on Hooper to score a touchdown in this game would not be statistically advisable.

Kayshon Boutte (NE) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-312)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Kayshon Boutte to go over 14.5 yards in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market is somewhat challenging based on current statistics. Boutte has a poor overall hit rate in the last 10 games, achieving the over only once. His home performance is slightly better but still low, with a hit rate of 1/10. His overall current hit streak is at zero, which does not inspire confidence. However, there is a potential silver lining. His statistics against the Houston Texans are perfect, albeit based on a small sample size of one game. He has hit the over in both his overall and home games against the Texans. This suggests he may perform well against this specific opponent, despite his recent general performance. The model edge also supports this bet with a value of 0.1684, suggesting there's a statistical advantage to betting the over.

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