Taylor Hendricks (Memphis Grizzlies) Under 1.5 Threes Made (-139)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When it comes to Taylor Hendricks, the trends suggest a case for caution in this matchup against the Toronto Raptors. While Hendricks has shown flashes of brilliance, particularly in hitting the three-pointer against this opponent, his recent form at home tells a different story. Averaging just 0.4 threes made in his last five home games, he's struggling to find his rhythm. Even though he's managed to hit 2 threes against the Raptors historically, the numbers reveal a stark contrast in his home performances. With an overall hit rate of 3-for-3 in the last three games, that success seems to be more of a statistical anomaly than a season-long trend. At home, the odds favor an underplay here, particularly with his expected value hovering around 0.97. For those looking to capitalize on the data, targeting the Under 1.5 threes made feels like the savvy play in this context.

Scottie Barnes (Toronto Raptors) Under 9.5 Rebounds (-312)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Raptors gear up to face the Grizzlies, all eyes will be on Scottie Barnes, but not for the reasons you might think. Sure, he's a talented player, but the numbers suggest a dip in his rebounding production. Averaging just 5 boards over the last five games, he's been a shadow of his rebounding self. Facing off against Memphis, a team that can be tough on the glass, his chances of hitting the 9.5 mark seem slim. In fact, his average against the Grizzlies at away games sits at just 6. With a perfect track record of going under in his last 12 away contests, it's hard to ignore the trend. The implied probability of 75.8% for him to stay under is bolstered by his expected stat value of just 6.68. So, betting the under on Barnes' rebounds feels not just smart, but almost inevitable as the Raptors visit Memphis.

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