Willson Contreras (STL) Under 3.5 RBIs (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels host the Red Sox, a keen eye should be on Willson Contreras and his RBI output. While the Red Sox lineup boasts some heavy hitters, Contreras has struggled to find consistent opportunities to drive in runs. His recent performance shows a dip in driving in multiple runs, particularly against right-handed pitching, which the Angels' starter brings to the mound. The Angels have been solid defensively at home, limiting opponents’ scoring chances and leaving Contreras with fewer opportunities to capitalize. With a model prediction hovering around 0.38 RBIs, it paints a clear picture that he may struggle to eclipse the 3.5 mark. Given the defensive prowess of Los Angeles and Contreras' recent stats, betting the under on his RBIs appears to be a smart play in this matchup. Keep an eye on the game’s flow, but expectations should be tempered for the Red Sox backstop.

Jo Adell (LAA) Under 2.5 Singles (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels gear up to face the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Jo Adell, but betting on him to register over 2.5 singles might not be the safest play. Adell has shown flashes of brilliance this season but has struggled to maintain consistency at the plate, particularly against right-handed pitching. The Red Sox, with their potent lineup, are no slouches on the mound, especially with their recent pitching performances that have kept opposing hitters in check. Adell’s recent trend leans towards fewer singles, especially with the way he’s been attacked by opposing pitchers, often leaning towards power rather than placement. Given the likelihood of seeing a heavy dose of Boston's bullpen, which has been effective in limiting hits, it’s reasonable to expect Adell will have a tough time notching those three singles. The under on 2.5 seems like a savvy bet in this matchup.

Jarren Duran (NA) Under 2.5 RBIs (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Angels gear up to host the Red Sox, all eyes will be on Jarren Duran, but betting on him to drive in more than two runs feels like a stretch. Although Duran has shown flashes of brilliance, he faces a formidable Angels pitching staff that’s been tough on opponents lately. Over the past month, they’ve limited batters to a mere .200 average with runners in scoring position, showcasing their ability to escape high-pressure situations. Moreover, Duran’s recent performance has been inconsistent, often finding himself stranded on base. With an implied probability of nearly 91% for him to remain under 2.5 RBIs, this matchup could favor the Angels' arms, particularly if they can keep the Red Sox lineup in check. Duran may have his moments, but with the current trends favoring the Angels, the under looks like a savvy play in this intriguing clash.

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