On Saturday 15 August 2026, Jeremiah Wells takes on Myktybek Orolbai in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Jeremiah Wells +3.5 on the Line, priced at +275 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Jeremiah Wells +3.5 on the Line (+275)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

I like Jeremiah Wells to cover the point spread against Myktybek Orolbai. Wells is a tough fighter who knows how to land solid strikes, and he has a good chance of keeping the fight close or even winning. Orolbai will need to be careful and avoid getting hit too much, but if Wells can push the action, he could keep it within that 3.5 margin. At +275, this bet is a bit of a long shot, but it feels worth a shot since Wells has a real chance to make it happen. Just remember, anything can happen in a fight! It was priced at +275 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $37.50 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jeremiah Wells to Win (+760)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

I like Jeremiah Wells to win this fight against Myktybek Orolbai. Wells is a strong striker who can finish fights, and he has a good chance to land some big shots. Orolbai might try to take the fight to the ground, but if Wells can keep it standing, he could find a way to win. Sure, he's the underdog, so it won't be easy, but at those odds, it's worth a shot. Just remember, anything can happen in the ring, so don't expect a guarantee! It was priced at +760 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $86 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Jeremiah Wells: last five W-L-L-W-W, on a 1-fight win streak, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 286 days since the last fight
  • Myktybek Orolbai: last five W-W-W-L-W, on a 3-fight win streak, 5% of career wins came by knockout, 153 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Jeremiah Wells v Myktybek Orolbai. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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