Alperen Sengun (Houston Rockets) Under 11.5 Rebounds (-455)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Rockets gear up to battle the 76ers at home, Alperen Sengun's rebounding numbers suggest a different narrative than the one expected. With an average of just 7.8 rebounds in his last five home games, the 11.5 mark feels a bit lofty. Sure, he's shown flashes against tough opponents, averaging 9.8 boards overall, but the context matters. The 76ers are no slouches on the glass, and Sengun's recent home performances indicate he may struggle to clear this high line. In fact, he's only surpassed 11.5 rebounds in one of his last three home outings, hitting the under consistently. Given these trends and an expected stat value of 7.74, it's hard to overlook the strong likelihood that Sengun will fall short of this threshold. With an implied probability of 82%, betting the under feels like a wise play as he faces off against a formidable Philly frontcourt.

Amen Thompson (Houston Rockets) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-476)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Houston Rockets prepare to face off against the Philadelphia 76ers, it's worth considering Amen Thompson's rebounding numbers. While Thompson has shown promise on the glass, averaging 9 rebounds at home in his last three games, he hasn't exactly been a prolific rebounder against the 76ers. In fact, he's mustered only 3 rebounds at home against them recently. His overall average of 6.8 rebounds in the last five games further supports the notion that hitting the over on 10.5 may be a stretch. With a solid hit rate of 8 out of 9 games going under this mark, the odds are favoring a lower output. Given these trends, betting on Thompson to finish under 10.5 rebounds seems like a wise choice in this matchup, especially with the 76ers' size and defensive presence on the boards.

Andre Drummond (Philadelphia 76ers) Under 8.5 Rebounds (-147)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the 76ers roll into Houston, all eyes will be on Andre Drummond, but the betting spotlight should focus on the under for his rebounds at 8.5. While Drummond's name carries weight, recent performances tell a different tale. He's averaging just 4.6 rebounds over his last five games, and even when playing away, that number creeps only to 6.6. Against the Rockets, he's averaged 7.7 rebounds in their last few matchups, but that trend may not hold. Houston's pace can make for a chaotic game, often leading to fewer opportunities in the paint. Also, with his recent hit rate of 3-for-4 on the road, the odds are in our favor that he'll fall short of that 8.5 mark. With an expected stat value of just 6.61, it's clear we should lean towards the under in this matchup.

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