Jameson Williams (DET) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+175)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The data suggests that betting on Jameson Williams to score a touchdown at any time in the game against the Green Bay Packers is a risky proposition. Williams' overall performance recently has been poor, with a 0/10 hit rate in his last ten games and a 0/5 hit rate in his last five. He has also failed to score a touchdown in his last three games against the Packers, and his hit rate is equally poor at home, with a 1/10 hit rate in his last ten games and a 0/5 hit rate in his last five. His overall hit rate is low as well, standing at 11/48. His current hit streak is also at zero, indicating a lack of momentum. Therefore, the statistical data does not favor Williams scoring a touchdown in this game.

David Montgomery (DET) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+150)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Statistically, David Montgomery has a strong track record of scoring touchdowns against the Green Bay Packers. His hit rate when playing against Green Bay is 4/6 overall and 3/3 when playing at home. This suggests that Montgomery performs particularly well against this team, especially on home ground. Despite a recent dip in form - with an overall current hit streak of 0 - his past performance against the Packers indicates a promising potential for a touchdown. Montgomery's stats against Green Bay seem to buck his general trends, suggesting that the Packers' defensive setup may be well suited to his playing style. With a model edge of 0.10223004308776, this bet has a positive expected value. Given Montgomery's strong historical performance against this specific opponent, it appears to be a statistically sound bet.

Detroit Lions vs Green Bay Packers : NA Moneyline (-154)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on the Detroit Lions in the head-to-head market for this game is supported by their superior recent performance, specifically in home games. Looking at the last five games, the Lions have a positive point difference and a positive EPA difference both overall and at home, which suggests they have been scoring more points than their opponents and making more successful plays. Their home record is strong (4-1), and they have been particularly proficient in rushing (home overall L5 rush EPA for: 2.1468). On the other hand, the away team has been underperforming in comparison. Though their overall records are similar, they were less successful in their away games (3-2) and have a lower point and EPA difference. In conclusion, based on the recent performance and home advantage, the Lions are statistically favoured to win this match-up.

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