Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Nico Hoerner's stolen bases is statistically sound. Over the last five games, Hoerner's overall and home stolen base averages are zero, indicating he hasn't been successful in stealing bases recently. Furthermore, his average caught stealing (CS) rates are low, suggesting he's not attempting many steals. Despite a notable hit streak, this doesn't translate directly to stolen bases. Additionally, against the Cardinals, Hoerner's stolen base average is only 0.4, which is below the bet line of 0.5. The data suggests Hoerner is more likely to not steal a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a sensible choice.

Pete Crow-Armstrong (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Pete Crow-Armstrong in the upcoming Cubs vs Cardinals game is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. His last five overall and home games show an average stolen base rate of just 0.2, half the threshold of the bet. Even when facing the Cardinals, his stolen base average remains below 0.5. Additionally, his overall and home current hit streaks are low, at 1 and 2 respectively. This suggests he's not frequently getting on base, which reduces his opportunities for stolen bases. Furthermore, the lack of caught stealing (Cs) incidents indicate that he's not taking risks on the base paths. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's statistically probable that Crow-Armstrong will stay under 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.

Kyle Tucker (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet for Kyle Tucker to have under 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game is supported by several key statistics. Firstly, Tucker's recent performance shows a low stolen base average, with only 0.4 stolen bases in the last five overall games and home games, and even lower at 0.2 against the Cardinals. His current overall hit streak is also at zero, indicating a recent lack of offensive momentum. Furthermore, Tucker's higher home stolen base average of 1 is not a significant concern as the Cubs have not caught a player stealing in their last five games, suggesting a lower risk of Tucker getting caught if he attempts to steal. Therefore, based on Tucker's recent performance and the Cubs' defense, it is statistically likely that Tucker will have under 0.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.

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