Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Wednesday 04/08 (7-Leg) Featuring Luke Kennard!: High Probability Plays

As the Lakers host the Thunder, Luke Kennard's role in this matchup makes for an intriguing player prop bet. With an average of just 9.6 points and 3.6 assists over his last five games, he's well below the 25.5 mark we're targeting. At home, those numbers dip further; he's averaging only 6.4 points and 1.6 assists, suggesting he struggles to find his rhythm in front of the home crowd.Against the Thunder specifically, Kennard has averaged a mere 7 points and 3 assists in their recent encounters. His performance at home against them has been even less impressive, with just 4.6 points and 2.8 assists. Considering his overall hit rate of 19 out of the last 20 games hitting the under, and a staggering 20 for 20 at home, it's clear that the value lies in betting against Kennard exceeding that 25.5 total. Expect him to remain

Tre Jones (Chicago Bulls) Under 31.5 Points + Assists (-345)

As the Chicago Bulls head to Washington, Tre Jones finds himself in a challenging spot against a Wizards team that has made it tough for opposing guards. While Jones has been solid overall, averaging 19.8 points and 4.8 assists in his last five games, his numbers dip when he hits the road; he's clocking in just 18.2 points and 6.6 assists away from home. Historically, against the Wizards, he's only managed to average 9 points and 9 assists in their last five meetings away.With a hit rate of 19 out of 20 for the under on points + assists, and a perfect 12 for 12 away, there's a compelling case for targeting the under on Jones at 31.5. When you factor in Washington's defensive prowess and Jones's recent struggles on the road, this bet feels like a smart play in what could be a low-scoring affair.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 34.5 Points (-345)

As we look ahead to the matchup between the Clippers and Mavericks, targeting Cooper Flagg for under 34.5 points feels like a savvy play. Flagg has been a scoring dynamo lately, averaging 30.2 points over his last five games, but let's dig a little deeper. On the road, his numbers drop to 23.4 points, showcasing that away games often stifle his scoring rhythm. Against the Mavericks specifically, he's averaged just 23 points per game in their last few matchups, and while he's had some explosive nights, those have generally been at home. The odds favor this under hitting, as Flagg has gone under this mark in 18 of his last 20 appearances. With an away hit rate of 20 for 20 in recent outings, it's clear that when he's away from home, it's tough for him to light up the scoreboard. Let's lean into that trend and grab the under.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-323)

As the Lakers gear up to face the Thunder, Luke Kennard's recent performance suggests a compelling case for taking the under on his combined points, rebounds, and assists at 30.5. Over his last five games, Kennard has averaged just 9.6 points, 5.4 rebounds, and 3.6 assists-well below our target. At home, those numbers dip even further, with only 6.4 points and 1.8 rebounds to his name. What's particularly telling is his history against the Thunder; he's averaged just 7 points and 2.2 rebounds at home against them, indicating a consistent struggle. Moreover, Kennard's last 20 games show a remarkable hit rate for this under, hitting 19 times. With the Lakers loaded with scoring options, it's hard to see Kennard breaking the 30.5 threshold. The odds favor this bet, making it a smart choice as we anticipate a subdued night for him

Collin Sexton (Chicago Bulls) Under 28.5 Points (-345)

As Collin Sexton takes the court against the Washington Wizards, it's hard to envision him surpassing the lofty 28.5 point mark. Sure, he's a dynamic scorer, but recent trends tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 20.2 points, and even more telling is his away performance, where that number dips slightly to 20.6. Against the Wizards, Sexton has been even less prolific, averaging only 17.6 points in their last five meetings, and just 18.5 points on the road. The numbers don't lie-he's hit the under 11 straight times, including a perfect 6 for 6 on the road. With a model suggesting an expected stat value of just 14.32, betting the under feels like a smart play. The Wizards won't make it easy, and Sexton's recent form indicates he'll likely fall short of that big number.

Cooper Flagg (Dallas Mavericks) Under 48.5 Points + Rebounds + Assists (-345)

As the Mavericks face off against the Clippers, all eyes will be on Cooper Flagg, but betting on him to hit the Over on 48.5 combined points, rebounds, and assists feels like a stretch. His recent away performances paint a clear picture-averaging just 23.4 points and 6.8 rebounds, he's been far from dominant outside of his home arena. Against the Clippers, he's managed only 23 points in their last encounter, and even with a slight uptick in away rebounds, he's only grabbing around 8.Digging deeper, Flagg's overall hit rate is impressive, but it's essential to note he hasn't eclipsed this mark in his last 12 away games, hitting the Under consistently. With an expected stat value of 30.35 and an implied probability of 77.5%, the smart money is on the Under for this matchup. Don't expect a breakout performance when the lights shine away from home.