Best NBA Parlay Picks Today, Monday 04/06 (7-Leg) : Expert Selections

As the Cavaliers prepare to face the Pacers, all eyes should be on Thomas Bryant and his rebounding performance. While the number is set at 11.5, recent trends suggest he's not going to hit that mark. In his last five games, he's averaged just 5 boards, and at home, that number dips to 4.4. Against the Pacers, he's managed a mere 3 rebounds on average, and only 2.3 when playing at home. Considering the Cavaliers' overall defensive prowess and the fact that Bryant has consistently fallen short of this line-hitting under in all of his last 20 games-betting the under feels like a safe wager. With an implied probability of 87%, it's hard to see him suddenly breaking through against a Pacers team that has been tough on the glass. This one feels like a no-brainer; expect Bryant to stay well below that lofty 11.5 mark.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 41.5 Points + Assists (-345)

As the Lakers gear up to face the Mavericks, LeBron James finds himself in a position that might not favor his usual scoring and facilitating prowess. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 17 points and 7.4 assists-numbers that suggest he's not quite in the groove we've come to expect. Particularly on the road, his scoring dips further, with averages of 15.8 points and 7 assists, not quite the offensive juggernaut we often associate with King James.Historically, against Dallas, he's managed around 20.6 points and 7 assists, but those figures are skewed by his home games. When playing away, that average climbs to 26.4 points, but given the Mavericks' defensive schemes, which have limited his effectiveness, it's reasonable to believe he'll fall short of the hefty 41.5 mark for combined points and assists. Betting the under seems to be a savvy play here.

Leonard Miller (Chicago Bulls) Under 30.5 Points + Rebounds (-345)

When it comes to Leonard Miller's performance against the Phoenix Suns, the numbers tell a compelling story that points toward an under on his combined points and rebounds total of 30.5. Over his last five games, Miller is averaging just 13.2 points and 5.8 rebounds, which falls significantly short of that threshold. At home, he's even less prolific, posting averages of 12.2 points and 6 rebounds. Against the Suns specifically, his averages dip to a mere 4 points and 3.2 rebounds. Given his recent form and the historical context-he's managed to stay below this line in every matchup over the last 20 games-it's hard to see him breaking through this barrier. With an implied probability of 77.5% supporting this play, betting the under feels like a savvy move as the Bulls look to tighten their defense against a formidable opponent.

LeBron James (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 11.5 Assists (-312)

As the Lakers gear up to face the Mavericks, all eyes are on LeBron James-and we're leaning towards the under on his assists at 11.5. Sure, LeBron is a playmaker, but the numbers tell a compelling story. Over the past five games, he's averaged just 7.4 assists overall and even lower at 7 in away matchups. When it comes to Dallas, he's managed only 6 assists per game in their last five encounters on the road. With the Mavericks' defense tightening up and LeBron's recent form indicating a drop-off in assist production-he's hitting this over just once in his last 20 away games-we like this bet. The implied probability of 75.8% speaks volumes, and with a solid expected stat value of 7.05, it's hard to ignore the trend. So, let's take advantage of these insights and back the under on LeBron's assists in this matchup.

Luke Kennard (Los Angeles Lakers) Under 23.5 Points + Assists (-357)

Looking at Luke Kennard's recent performances, it's clear that he's not exactly lighting up the scoreboard, especially when playing away. Averaging just 6.8 points and 1.4 assists on the road over his last five games, he simply hasn't been able to find his rhythm. Against the Mavericks, even his historical output dips-he's only managed 4.6 points per game in their past matchups away from home. The Mavericks will likely focus on shutting down Kennard, and with his average of 8.2 points and 1.8 assists overall in that stretch, it's hard to see him eclipsing the 23.5 mark. With an impressive 20-for-20 hit rate on the under in his last 20 games, the odds are heavily in our favor. It feels like a safe play to take the under on Kennard's points and assists in this matchup.

Collin Sexton (Chicago Bulls) Under 26.5 Points (-333)

As we gear up for the Bulls' clash against the Suns, targeting Collin Sexton for an under on his points total feels like a savvy play. Despite his undeniable talent, Sexton has been trending downward in terms of scoring, averaging just 17.2 points at home over his last five games. When facing the Suns, his numbers dip even further, with an average of only 12 points in their last encounters at home.Moreover, his recent performance shows a striking trend-he's hit the under in all nine of his last games, showcasing a strong pattern of scoring struggles. With the Bulls set to leverage their defensive strengths, it's hard to imagine Sexton breaking the 26.5 mark. Given the circumstances, betting on the under seems not just sensible, but backed by compelling data that paints a clear picture of his current trajectory.