Best MLB Parlay Picks Today, Sunday 07/13 (5-Leg) : Calculated Risk, High Reward

Kevin Gausman's under 18.5 outs bet is based on his recent performance data. His last five overall games show an average of 18.8 outs, which is just above the line, but his last five away games average drops to 18.2 outs, below the line. Also, his average pitches thrown in away games is 88.6, which is lower compared to his overall average of 94.2 pitches. This suggests that he might be less effective when playing away from home. Additionally, Gausman's current hit streak is lower in away games, indicating a possible dip in his performance. Therefore, based on these stats, it's reasonable to expect Gausman to record under 18.5 outs in the upcoming game against Oakland Athletics.

Ernie Clement (TOR) Under 1.5 Hits (-196)

Betting on Ernie Clement to score under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is statistically sound. Clement's last five games show an average of just 0.8 overall hits and 1 away hit, both falling below the line of 1.5. His performance against the Oakland Athletics also supports this bet, averaging only 1 hit in the last five games against the team. Moreover, his plate appearances are relatively low, averaging 2.4 overall and 2 on away games, which limits his opportunities to hit. Despite a current hit streak, the low averages suggest that it's unlikely for Clement to score over 1.5 hits in the upcoming game. Therefore, the under 1.5 bet for Ernie Clement is a statistically informed choice.

Xavier Edwards (MIA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-323)

The bet on Xavier Edwards for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Edwards' average stolen base count over the last five games, whether overall, away, or against the Orioles, has been less than 0.5. His overall and away game stolen base averages are zero, indicating a lack of successful steal attempts. Even when facing the Orioles, his average stolen base count is only 0.3. This trend suggests that Edwards is unlikely to register a stolen base in the upcoming game. Furthermore, Edwards has no caught stealing (Cs) instances in his recent games, suggesting a conservative base-running strategy. Therefore, betting under 0.5 stolen bases for Edwards is statistically justified.

Zach Neto (LAA) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)

The under 0.5 bet on Zach Neto's stolen bases is a solid choice given his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Neto hasn't stolen a base, whether playing at home or against the Diamondbacks. His overall and home stolen base averages are also low, at 0 and 0.2 respectively. Despite his impressive hit streak, Neto's ability to convert hits into stolen bases has been lacking. Furthermore, the opposition has not given up any stolen bases in their last five encounters, indicating strong defensive play. This combination of Neto's low stolen base average and the Diamondbacks' effective defense makes the under 0.5 stolen bases a statistically sound bet.