Corbin Carroll (ARI) Under 1.5 Stolen Bases (-1667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Corbin Carroll for Under 1.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a strong choice, primarily due to Carroll's recent performance data. His last five (L5) games' averages indicate a relatively low stolen base rate. Overall, he averages 0.6 stolen bases, which drops to 0.2 when playing at home. Against the Boston Red Sox, his stolen base average is 0. This shows a consistent trend of Carroll not exceeding 1.5 stolen bases. Additionally, the lack of caught stealing (Cs) instances in the last five games further supports this trend, indicating that Carroll is not attempting many stolen bases. His current hit streaks, both overall and at home, do not impact his stolen base performance significantly. Therefore, the statistical data strongly suggests that Carroll is unlikely to surpass 1.5 stolen bases in the upcoming game.

Ketel Marte (ARI) Under 1.5 Walks (-500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ketel Marte for Under 1.5 in the Batter Walks market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Marte's overall average for walks is just 1, and his home average is even lower at 0.6. Against the Red Sox, Marte has not recorded any walks in the last five games. This suggests that he is less likely to draw multiple walks in the upcoming game. His plate appearances also do not indicate a high likelihood of exceeding the 1.5 walk line, with averages of 3.4 overall, 5.2 at home, and 4 against the Red Sox. Furthermore, his current hit streak of 2 games, both at home, implies he's been hitting the ball rather than drawing walks. These statistics collectively indicate a high probability of Marte having fewer than 1.5 walks in the game.

Nathaniel Lowe (WSN) Under 1.5 Walks (-556)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 walks bet for Nathaniel Lowe is a solid choice based on his recent performances. In the last five games, Lowe's overall and away batting walk average is 0.4, indicating that he's not walking frequently. His plate appearances are also consistent, averaging 4.2 overall and 4 away, suggesting he gets regular chances to hit but doesn't often walk. Even against the Diamondbacks, his walk average is only 0.6. Despite his current hit streaks, these do not directly correlate to walks. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's less likely for Lowe to walk more than once in the upcoming game, making the under 1.5 walks bet a statistically sound choice.

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