Expert analysis and top MLB betting picks for Washington Nationals vs Cincinnati Reds. Featuring picks like NA props. Discover same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Jacob Young (WSN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet in the Batter Stolen Bases market for Jacob Young is a good choice due to several key statistics. Young's recent performance shows a low likelihood of stealing bases, especially at home games. His average for the last five overall stolen bases is 0.2, indicating a scarce occurrence of this event. More importantly, his average for the last five home stolen bases is 0, suggesting he has not stolen a base in recent home games. Additionally, his average caught stealing (Cs) rate at home is 0.2, further reducing the chances of successful steals. Despite a higher average against the Reds, his overall and home performances suggest a lower probability of stealing a base. Therefore, the under 0.5 bet for Young's stolen bases is statistically justified.
Jake Fraley (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The bet on Jake Fraley for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is backed by his recent performance data. Fraley's L5 (last five games) overall stolen base average is 0, and his L5 away stolen base average is also 0, indicating he has not been successful in stealing bases recently, especially in away games. Additionally, his L5 average caught stealing (Cs) rate is 0.2, suggesting he has been caught in 20% of his stolen base attempts. His performance against the Washington Nationals also supports this bet, with a L5 versus opponent stolen base average of just 0.2. Despite his current hit streaks, the data suggests that Fraley is unlikely to steal a base in this game. Therefore, betting Under 0.5 is a statistically sound choice.
Matt McLain (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
The under 0.5 bet for Matt McLain's stolen bases in the upcoming game is a favorable choice based on his past performance data. McLain's average stolen bases for the last five games, regardless of location, is 0.2, indicating he rarely steals bases. When playing away games, this average remains the same, suggesting that the change of location does not impact his stealing behavior. Furthermore, his stolen base average against the Washington Nationals is 0, further solidifying the likelihood of him not stealing a base in the upcoming game. Additionally, McLain's current hit streak is only one, both overall and away, which may limit his on-base opportunities and thus his chances to steal a base. Therefore, based on these statistics, it is statistically more likely that McLain will not steal a base in the upcoming game.
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