Us Open: Anna Kalinskaya vs Yulia Putintseva — Anna Kalinskaya Moneyline (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

For the matchup between Anna Kalinskaya and Yulia Putintseva, the data strongly favors Kalinskaya. She boasts a solid overall win rate of 60% in her last five matches, consistent with her performance on hard courts. Kalinskaya’s first-serve percentage stands at 63.9%, and she wins 64.6% of her first-serve points, indicating strong serve reliability, crucial in hard-court conditions. Her second-serve points won rate of 47.1% complements this, showcasing her ability to recover after a less effective first serve. Additionally, her break point save percentage at 58.6% suggests resilience under pressure, crucial against a player like Putintseva, who can capitalize on errors. With an edge of 18.3% on the moneyline, Kalinskaya presents excellent value given her superior serve performance and recent form, making her the logical pick for this encounter.

Us Open: Adam Walton vs Chak Lam Coleman Wong — Chak Lam Coleman Wong Moneyline (+135)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Chak Lam Coleman Wong presents good value at 2.35 against Adam Walton, with a model probability of 49.67% implying a 7.1% edge. Both players show no recent match form, but Wong's serve stats are noteworthy. He boasts a first serve percentage of 57.5% and wins 69.57% of first serve points, indicating strong serving consistency under pressure. His second serve performance sits at 47.06%, with a respectable break point save percentage of 62.5%. In contrast, Walton's stats are not provided, but Wong's solid return game and ability to save break points could give him the edge in crucial moments. The hard court surface favors strong servers, and Wong's recent serve metrics suggest he can leverage that advantage effectively. Therefore, with these predictive indicators, betting on Wong is strategically sound.