Indian Wells: Storm Hunter vs Belinda Bencic — Belinda Bencic Moneyline (-909)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

Belinda Bencic is the clear value pick against Storm Hunter in their upcoming match. Recent form shows Bencic with a solid 60% win rate over her last five matches, outperforming Hunter's 60% as well, but she exhibits superior serving metrics. On hard courts, Bencic boasts a first-serve percentage of 55.6% with points won at 64.4%, significantly better than Hunter's overall averages. Bencic's second-serve points won rate of 44.4% also surpasses Hunter's 41.3%. Bencic's break-point save percentage of 53.7% is strong, and her ability to pressure opponents is highlighted by Hunter’s low BP save rate of 88.9%. Additionally, Hunter's higher double fault rate (6.2%) compared to Bencic’s (7.3%) could lead to crucial points for Bencic. With an implied probability of 90% against a model probability of 98%, Bencic represents excellent value at 1.11.

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