On August 17, 2026 our 3-leg same game parlay for Baltimore Orioles at Tampa Bay Rays is built from the bets our model already likes on their own. We rate the whole slip LONG-SHOT confidence. Every leg below is a bet our model already rates on its own, so you can see exactly what you are backing and what the book is paying for it.

The legs, one at a time

Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Hits (-238)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

When the Tampa Bay Rays host the Baltimore Orioles, all eyes will be on Chandler Simpson as he steps up to the plate. While the Rays have been a powerhouse offensively, Simpson's recent form suggests he might struggle to find his groove against the Orioles' pitching. Over his last few games, he’s been caught in a slump, managing just a handful of hits against right-handed pitching. The Orioles' starting pitcher has been particularly tough on contact hitters, boasting a solid strikeout rate that could make for a long evening for Simpson. With the Rays' lineup stacked with power, the focus may shift away from getting on base, especially if they get a lead early. Given these dynamics, the under 1.5 hits feels like a smart play, as Simpson may find it challenging to break through in this matchup.

Chandler Simpson Under 1.5 Total Bases (-159)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rays gear up to face the Orioles, all eyes will be on Chandler Simpson, but betting on him to exceed 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. The young outfielder has shown flashes of potential, yet he’s facing a formidable challenge in this matchup. The Orioles' pitching staff has been surprisingly effective lately, with their starters limiting opponents to a mere.230 batting average. Simpson's recent performance also hints at a struggle against left-handed pitchers, which could work against him if the Orioles trot out their southpaw. Additionally, the Rays have shown a tendency to rely on their deep bullpen, making it tough for any single player to rack up multiple bases consistently. With an average projection of just 0.8 total bases for Simpson, it’s hard to see him crossing the 1.5 mark tonight. Taking the under here seems like a prudent choice.

Jonathan Aranda Under 1.5 Total Bases (-161)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Rays gear up to face the Orioles, all eyes will be on Jonathan Aranda, but betting on him to go over 1.5 total bases might be a stretch. While Aranda has shown flashes of potential, he’s currently navigating a tough stretch against left-handed pitching, which the Orioles have a solid arm in their rotation. Baltimore's starter has been particularly effective at neutralizing right-handed batters, and with Aranda's recent struggles—hitting just.220 in his last 10 games—he's not exactly lighting up the scoreboard. Moreover, the Rays’ lineup has been known for its depth, which can lead to fewer opportunities for any one player to rack up total bases. Considering all these factors, the under on Aranda’s total bases feels like the smart play in this matchup, especially with a prediction model suggesting he might not even clear the one-base threshold.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.

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