Fernando Tatis Jr. (SDP) Under 1.5 Doubles (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Fernando Tatis Jr. for Under 1.5 in the Batter Doubles market is a sound choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Tatis Jr. has averaged zero doubles, both overall and specifically when playing away. This trend holds true even when facing the St. Louis Cardinals, suggesting that he's not likely to hit more than one double in the upcoming game. Despite a strong overall hit streak, Tatis Jr.'s average hits per game are also relatively low, at 1.4 overall and 1.3 when playing away. This further supports the likelihood of him hitting under 1.5 doubles. Therefore, based on these statistics, the Under 1.5 bet is statistically justified.

Miles Mikolas (STL) Over 0.5 Strikeouts (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Miles Mikolas has consistently demonstrated his ability to strike out at least one batter per game, with an overall hit streak of 62 games and a home hit streak of 31 games. His last five games show an average of 3 strikeouts per game overall and 3.8 at home. These figures are well above the bet line of 0.5. Additionally, his innings pitched and outs averages, both overall and at home, indicate he's consistently on the mound long enough to achieve more than 0.5 strikeouts. His performance against the Padres specifically also supports this bet, with an average of 3.8 strikeouts in the last five games. Therefore, the data suggests that betting over 0.5 for Mikolas' strikeouts is a solid choice.

Manny Machado (SDP) Under 1.5 Singles (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting under 1.5 on Manny Machado is a statistically sound choice, primarily due to his recent performance data. Over his last five games, both overall and away, Machado has averaged only 0.4 singles per game, which is significantly lower than the line of 1.5. Additionally, his overall batting average in the last five games is just 0.6, further supporting the under bet. His performance against the Cardinals also leans towards the under, as he's averaged just 0.2 singles in his last five games against this opponent. Despite his current hit streaks, both overall and away, the majority of his hits are not singles. Therefore, based on his recent singles and batting averages, Machado is statistically more likely to hit under 1.5 singles in the upcoming game.

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