On Sunday 23 August 2026, Roman Dolidze takes on Reinier de Ridder in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Reinier de Ridder -5.5 on the Line, priced at -125 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Reinier de Ridder -5.5 on the Line (-125)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

Reinier de Ridder is a strong grappler who excels at controlling fights on the ground, while Roman Dolidze is more of a striker. For de Ridder to win, he should focus on taking Dolidze down and keeping him there. Our numbers suggest he has a good chance to win by at least six points, which means he might really dominate the fight. This bet isn't a sure thing, but it looks promising given de Ridder's skills. Just remember, anything can happen in the cage! It was priced at -125 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Roman Dolidze to Win (+320)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

Roman Dolidze is the underdog in this fight against Reinier de Ridder, but he has a real chance to win. Dolidze is a strong striker and has some serious finishing skills, which could give him the upper hand if he can keep the fight standing. De Ridder is known for his grappling, so Dolidze will need to avoid going to the ground. While it's not a sure thing, Dolidze's chances make this bet worth considering at those odds. Just remember, anything can happen in the octagon! It was priced at +320 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $42 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Reinier de Ridder: last five L-L-W-W-W, dropped the last 2, 4% of career wins came by knockout, 166 days since the last fight
  • Roman Dolidze: last five L-L-W-W-W, dropped the last 2, 25% of career wins came by knockout, 152 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Roman Dolidze v Reinier de Ridder. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article