Oneil Cruz (PIT) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-370)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Oneil Cruz for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a sensible choice based on his recent performance data. Cruz's last five game averages show a trend of low stolen bases, with an overall average of 0.4 and a home average also at 0.4. This indicates that he is unlikely to steal more than half a base in the upcoming game. Furthermore, his stolen base average against the Texas Rangers is only slightly higher at 0.7. Additionally, he currently has a hit streak of only two games overall and one game at home, suggesting that his recent batting performance has not been strong enough to significantly increase his chances of stealing bases. Lastly, there have been no caught stealing instances in the last five games, which further supports the bet for Under 0.5.

Jacob deGrom (TEX) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-400)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Jacob deGrom for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a strong choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, deGrom has averaged 1.4 walks overall and 1 walk when playing away, both above the line of 0.5. His innings pitched (IP) averages also support this, with 5 IP overall and 4.2 IP away, indicating he typically plays long enough to allow a walk. Furthermore, his current hit streaks - 2 overall and 1 away - suggest he's in a phase where batters are connecting with his pitches more frequently, increasing the chance of walks. While his average walks allowed against the Pirates is exactly at the line, his overall and away stats provide a compelling argument for this bet.

Wyatt Langford (TEX) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Wyatt Langford for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Langford's average stolen bases when playing away games is notably lower (0.2) compared to his overall average (0.6). Furthermore, his current hit streak, both overall and away, is at zero, indicating a slump in his performance. Additionally, when playing against the Pittsburgh Pirates, his stolen base average is also lower (0.5) than his overall average. The lack of caught stealing (Cs) instances in his last five away games and games against the Pirates suggests he's not taking many risks in stealing bases. This data-driven analysis suggests it's less likely for Langford to steal a base in this game, making the Under 0.5 bet a good choice.

Corey Seager (TEX) Under 1.5 Hits (-256)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Corey Seager for under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is driven by Seager's recent performance data. His last five games show an average of 1 hit per game overall, and when playing away, this average only slightly increases to 1.2. Furthermore, his hit average against the Pirates is also 1, and his away hit average drops to 0.7. Seager's plate appearances (PA) do not significantly change these figures, with averages ranging between 4 to 4.3. While Seager is on a hit streak, it's only at 3 overall and 2 for away games. These statistics suggest that Seager is consistently hitting, but not exceeding, 1 hit per game, making the under 1.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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