LaMelo Ball (Charlotte Hornets) Under 4.5 Threes Made (-145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As LaMelo Ball and the Charlotte Hornets travel to face the Orlando Magic, it's a prime opportunity to bet on the under for his three-pointers made, set at 4.5. While he's been an impressive shooter lately, averaging 5.2 threes in his last five games, the context shifts when he's on the road. Out of his last 11 away games, he's hit the under in 7 of them, and against the Magic specifically, his average dips to just 3.8 threes per game. The Magic's defense is no slouch, often limiting perimeter shots, which could keep LaMelo from finding his rhythm. With an expected stat value of 3.35 threes tonight, it's clear that the odds are leaning toward a lower output. In a tight contest where every possession counts, I wouldn't be surprised to see him fall short of that 4.5 mark.

Paolo Banchero (Orlando Magic) Under 10.5 Rebounds (-345)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

When the Orlando Magic host the Charlotte Hornets, all eyes will be on Paolo Banchero, but the smart money is on him falling short of 10.5 rebounds. While he's shown flashes of brilliance this season, recent trends tell a different story. Over his last five games, he's averaged just 7.4 boards, and at home, that number dips slightly to 7.8. Facing the Hornets, he hasn't fared much better, grabbing an average of only 5.6 rebounds in their previous matchups. The numbers don't lie-Banchero has hit the under in this prop in all five of his last games and is a perfect 10-for-10 at home when it comes to staying below this threshold. With an expected stat value of just 7.03, it's hard to see him surpassing that 10.5 mark. Betting on the under feels like an astute move here.

Brandon Miller (Charlotte Hornets) Under 5.5 Rebounds (-125)

Odds available at fanduel at time of publishing

As the Charlotte Hornets face off against the Orlando Magic, all eyes will be on Brandon Miller, but I'm leaning toward the under on his rebounding prop set at 5.5. While he's shown flashes of potential, his recent form tells a different story. In his last five games, Miller has averaged just 3.4 rebounds, and when he's on the road, that drops to an even slimmer 3.2. Against the Magic, who boast a solid frontcourt, his numbers dip further to an average of 3.6 rebounds per game away. With the implied probability suggesting a 55.6% chance he'll stay below that mark, it's hard to ignore the trend. He's been under this threshold in three of his last four away games, reinforcing the call here. For a player still finding his footing, taking the under seems like the smart play.

Anthony Black (Orlando Magic) Under 2.5 Rebounds (+109)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Orlando Magic prepare to take on the Charlotte Hornets, all eyes should be on Anthony Black's rebounding performance, particularly if you're considering betting the under on his total of 2.5. While Black has shown flashes of potential, averaging 3.6 rebounds over his last five games, that number dips to 2.6 at home. The Hornets, not known for their rebounding prowess, pose a challenge for him to grab those extra boards. In fact, when facing Charlotte at home, he's only managed 3 rebounds in his last matchup. His hit rate in the last four home games also suggests inconsistency, with only two games surpassing this threshold. Given these trends and the pressure of the matchup, banking on Black to stay under 2.5 rebounds feels like a savvy play. It's a calculated risk that aligns with his recent performance and the dynamics of the game.

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