Elly De La Cruz (CIN) Under 1.5 Stolen Bases (-769)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 stolen bases bet for Elly De La Cruz is statistically justified by his recent performance data. His last five overall and away games both show an average of 1 stolen base, already below the line. His performance against the Oakland Athletics is even more telling, with an average of 0 stolen bases in the last five games. Additionally, his current hit streak is at 0 for both overall and away games, indicating he is not at his peak performance. With no caught stealing (Cs) in recent games, it seems De La Cruz is being cautious, further reducing the likelihood of multiple stolen bases. The consistent pattern of low stolen bases across various conditions supports the bet for under 1.5.

Gavin Lux (CIN) Under 1.5 Walks (-385)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Gavin Lux for Under 1.5 in the Batter Walks market is a good choice based on his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Lux's overall average walks per game is 1.2, which is under the line of 1.5. This trend continues in away games, where his average is 1.4 walks per game. Furthermore, when playing against the Oakland Athletics, Lux's walk average drops even further to 0.7. His plate appearances also decrease against this team, suggesting fewer opportunities to get walks. His current hit streak doesn't significantly influence this bet as it doesn't directly correlate with walks. Therefore, based on these statistics, it's reasonable to expect Lux to walk less than 1.5 times in the upcoming game.

TJ Friedl (CIN) Under 1.5 Walks (-370)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on TJ Friedl for Under 1.5 in the Batter Walks market is a solid choice, primarily based on Friedl's historical performance data. Over his last five games, regardless of location, Friedl averages only 0.6 walks per game, well below the line of 1.5. This average remains consistent even in away games. Moreover, when playing against the Oakland Athletics, Friedl's walk average drops to zero, indicating that he struggles to earn walks against this particular team. His plate appearances also decrease when playing away games and against the Athletics, which reduces his opportunities to earn walks. Lastly, Friedl's current hit streak suggests he's more likely to hit than to walk. All these factors make the Under 1.5 bet for TJ Friedl in the Batter Walks market a logical choice.

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