Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for KaVontae Turpin is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns.
On Total Touchdowns, our numbers say this bet wins about 1 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 1%, the price says 1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Sep 21, 3:25AM UTC
NFL
KaVontae Turpin
DAL
KaVontae Turpin has one live pick today: Total Touchdowns Over 1.5 that pays $10,100 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.
Latest Model Pick
Total Touchdowns
Over 1.5
+10000 (101.00) · $100→$10,100
Value call
Washington Commanders
@
Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
Sun 20 Sep, 8:25PM
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate team total points overs: 339 of 532 rightToday’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWNSeason pending
Turpin returned five kickoffs for 122 yards and caught his only target for eight yards in Sunday's 28-20 loss to the Giants.
updated Sep 15, 2:44AM UTC · 6d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss.
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Our call
A lean, not a lock
How often this wins
1 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Total Touchdowns
See the numbers
For the numbers: our chance 1.2% · before adjusting for past results 2.1% · the book's price implies 1.0% · gap +0.2%.
| Market | Model | Calibrated | Implied | Fair Odds | Edge |
|---|
| Total Touchdowns | 2.1% | 1.2% | 1.0% | 101.00 | +1.1% |
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KaVontae Turpin (DAL) Over 1.5 Player tds over (+10000)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
Dallas Cowboys play Washington Commanders in the NFL on Sunday 20 September 2026. The bet we are looking at is KaVontae Turpin (DAL) Over 1.5 Player tds over. It was priced at +10000 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $1010 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
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Betting angles
Markets & formReceiving Yards15 lines trackedNo line posted 16.5typical line · receiving yds
line range15.5–17.5tips tracked15
KaVontae Turpin's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 15 times, typically around a 16.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
Anytime TD5 lines trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked5
KaVontae Turpin's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 5 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.
| Date | Matchup | Market | Line | Pick | Odds (US) | Result |
|---|
| 20 Sep 26 |
Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys |
Total Touchdowns |
— |
— |
— |
Pending |
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KaVontae Turpin (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for KaVontae Turpin is Over 1.5 on Total Touchdowns. The model identifies a slight edge of +1.1% on this pick. Their next game is Washington Commanders vs Dallas Cowboys on Sunday 20 September at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.
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