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KaVontae Turpin

DAL

Value call

KaVontae Turpin has one live pick today: over 1.5 receptions that pays $434 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
33 in 100
Predicted
1.6 receptions
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 32.9% · before adjusting for past results 42.2% · the book's price implies 23.0% · gap +9.9%.

Latest Model PickFree
Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers
Green Bay · Indoor
Sun 18 Oct, 8:20 PM ET
KaVontae Turpin
over 1.5 receptions
Receptions (Alt) Over 1.5 +334 (4.34) · $100→$434
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 33 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$43.40 Odds+334
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for KaVontae Turpin is Over 1.5 on Receptions (Alt).
On Receptions (Alt), our numbers say this bet wins about 33 times in 100 — more often than the price suggests. For the numbers: our chance 33%, the price says 23%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Nov 8, 10:54AM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
OUT
Turpin (ribs) has been ruled out ahead of Sunday's game against the Colts, Tommy Yarrish of the Cowboys' official site reports.
updated Nov 7, 12:19AM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Receptions (Alt)42.2%32.9%23.0%4.34+19.2%

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AI Analysis

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Green Bay Packers vs Dallas Cowboys: KaVontae Turpin Over 1.5 Receptions (Alt) (+334)

Odds correct at time of publishing

The Dallas Cowboys struggle against wide receivers, giving up the most touchdowns in the league last season. This could create a good opportunity for KaVontae Turpin, who has a chance to get at least two receptions. The Green Bay Packers have had success as home underdogs, winning seven out of ten games, which adds to the excitement of this matchup. KaVontae Turpin could be a key target for the Cowboys' quarterback, especially since he faced extra pressure on many plays. The risk here is that the game could be closely contested, limiting opportunities for Turpin. Still, with the odds at +334, betting on him to get over 1.5 receptions feels like a smart move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards37 lines trackedNo line posted
16.5typical line · receiving yds
line range5.5–69.5tips tracked37

KaVontae Turpin's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 37 times, typically around a 16.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD27 lines trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked27

KaVontae Turpin's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 27 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Receptions24 lines trackedNo line posted
0.5typical line · receptions
line range0.5–3.5model over70%tips tracked24

KaVontae Turpin's NFL receptions prop has been priced 24 times, typically around a 0.5 receptions line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Quick answers:How many receiving yards does KaVontae Turpin average?
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
18 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers Receiving Yards 6.5 Under -109 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers Receiving Yards 5.5 Under -109 ✓ HIT
18 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers Receptions — — — Pending
18 Oct 26 Dallas Cowboys @ Green Bay Packers Receptions (Alt) — — — Pending

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About This Player

KaVontae Turpin (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for KaVontae Turpin is Over 1.5 on Receptions (Alt). The model identifies a strong positive edge of +19.2% on this pick. Their next game is Dallas Cowboys vs Green Bay Packers on Sunday 18 October at Green Bay. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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