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NFL

KaVontae Turpin

DAL

Value call

KaVontae Turpin has one live pick today: to score a touchdown that pays $900 on $100 — every past pick on this player is graded below.

Our call
LONG-SHOT
How often this wins
10 in 100
Predicted
0.2 Anytime TD
See the numbers

For the numbers: our chance 9.7% · before adjusting for past results 16.9% · the book's price implies 11.1% · gap -1.4%.

Latest Model PickFree
Tampa Bay Buccaneers @ Dallas Cowboys
Dallas · Indoor
Thu 8 Oct, 8:15 PM ET
KaVontae Turpin
to score a touchdown
Anytime TD Yes +800 (9.00) · $100→$900
Value call
LONG-SHOTWins about 10 times in 100, by our numbers
You bet$10 If it wins$90.00 Odds+800
See why we picked it
Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for KaVontae Turpin is Yes on Anytime TD.
On Anytime TD, our numbers say this bet wins about 10 times in 100. For the numbers: our chance 10%, the price says 11%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current NFL schedule.
Model updated Oct 11, 5:48PM UTC
The recordWhen our formula calls nfl alternate totals h1 unders: +$6,699 at $100 flat
Today’s picks post before the games start.logged in public before tip-offSee the picks page
UNKNOWN
Turpin caught two of four passes for 22 yards during the Cowboys' 24-16 loss to the Buccaneers on Thursday. He also returned one punt for 10 yards and added 127 yards on five kickoff returns, fumbling on one of them.
updated Oct 10, 5:31PM UTC · 1d old
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →

Every Bet on This Player, Graded

See every number
MarketModelCalibratedImpliedFair OddsEdge
Anytime TD16.9%9.7%11.1%9.00+5.8%

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AI Analysis

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KaVontae Turpin (DAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+800)

Odds correct at time of publishing

Dallas Cowboys play Tampa Bay Buccaneers in the NFL on Friday 9 October 2026. The bet we are looking at is KaVontae Turpin (DAL) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer. It was priced at +800 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $90 if it lands. Our model rates this one a long shot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Betting angles

Markets & form
Receiving Yards15 lines trackedNo line posted
16.5typical line · receiving yds
line range15.5–17.5tips tracked15

KaVontae Turpin's NFL receiving yards prop has been priced 15 times, typically around a 16.5 receiving yds line. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

Anytime TD19 lines trackedNo line posted
16%model anytime-TD prob
tips tracked19

KaVontae Turpin's NFL anytime td prop has been priced 19 times, with a modelled anytime-touchdown probability near 16%. Realised game-by-game hit rates are not yet published for this market.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
27 Sep 26 Baltimore Ravens @ Dallas Cowboys Total Touchdowns — — — Pending
20 Sep 26 Washington Commanders @ Dallas Cowboys Total Touchdowns — — — Pending

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About This Player

KaVontae Turpin (DAL) is tracked by the Bet Better model for NFL player prop betting. The latest model pick for KaVontae Turpin is Yes on Anytime TD. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.8% on this pick. Their next game is Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs Dallas Cowboys on Thursday 8 October at Dallas. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your NFL betting strategy.

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