SYSTEM STATUS: Online WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) WIN: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) WIN: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +139) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) WIN: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) WIN: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +136) WIN: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1 @ +154) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -101) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks 1.5 @ -106) RESULT: WON: Toronto Blue Jays @ San Diego Padres (Toronto Blue Jays -1.5 @ +162) RESULT: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +139) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1 @ +291) RESULT: WON: Arizona Diamondbacks @ Los Angeles Dodgers (Arizona Diamondbacks -1.5 @ +330) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320) RESULT: WON: Geelong Cats @ Greater Western Sydney Giants (Greater Western Sydney Giants @ +136) RESULT: WON: Colorado Rockies @ San Francisco Giants (Colorado Rockies 5.5 @ +320)
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The latest Bet Better model pick for Jasson Domínguez is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases.
On the Batter - Total Bases market the model assigns a model win probability of 74%, versus the book's implied 64%, for a model edge of +10.1%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Jul 12, 7:09AM UTC
MLB

Jasson Domínguez

MLB

+10.1% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Total Bases Under 1.5 -179 (1.56)
+10.1% Edge
New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals
Nationals Park, Washington
Sun 12 Jul, 5:35PM
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
74.2%
Implied Probability
64.1%
Model Edge
+10.1%
Predicted Value
—

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Total Bases74.2%—64.1%1.35+10.1%

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Beat the closing line — our published picks in this player's games beat the closing line 0 of 25 times (0%), +0.6% avg CLV. Verified closing-line value.

Recent-Form Hit-Rate Curve

WindowHit Rate
Last 3 games2/3
Last 5 games4/5
Last 10 games5/10

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AI Analysis

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Jasson Domínguez (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Yankees face off against the Nationals this Sunday, all eyes will be on Jasson Domínguez. While he’s a promising talent, recent trends point toward a quieter day at the plate. Over his last ten games, Domínguez has struggled to find consistent contact, showcasing a dip in production against right-handed pitching. The Nationals’ starter has been surprisingly effective lately, boasting a solid WHIP and a knack for keeping hitters off balance. The Yankees' lineup, while potent, has seen some inconsistency lately, especially when facing pitchers who can command the strike zone. With Domínguez hovering just around the one total base mark in similar matchups, it’s reasonable to expect he’ll fall short of 1.5 total bases today. This matchup favors the under, making it a smart play as we anticipate a challenging day for the young slugger against a resilient Nationals pitching staff.

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Pick History & Track Record

Overall Hit Rate (1 picks) 100.0% (1/1)
DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
10 Jul 26 New York Yankees @ Washington Nationals Batter - Hits 1.5 Under -256 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

Jasson Domínguez is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. Across 1 settled picks, the model has hit at a rate of 100.0% (1/1). The latest model pick for Jasson Domínguez is Under 1.5 on Batter - Total Bases. The model identifies a strong positive edge of +10.1% on this pick. Their next game is New York Yankees vs Washington Nationals on Sunday 12 July at Nationals Park, Washington. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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