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Answer
The latest Bet Better model pick for César Prieto is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored.
On the Batter - Runs Scored market the model assigns a model win probability of 78%, versus the book's implied 72%, for a model edge of +5.6%. It updates daily; availability depends on the current MLB schedule.
Model updated Aug 10, 5:10PM UTC
MLB

César Prieto

MLB

+5.6% Edge
Latest Model Pick
Batter - Runs Scored Under 0.5 -256 (1.39) · $100→$139
+5.6% Edge
Philadelphia Phillies @ St. Louis Cardinals
Busch Stadium, St. Louis, Missouri · Outdoor
Mon 10 Aug, 11:45PM
The recordWhen our formula calls mlb total-runs unders: 546 of 996 right
No injury designation
No current injury or availability flag for this player in the feed.
Every pick is graded and published — see the full verified results, win and loss. View results →
Model Probability
77.5%
Implied Probability
71.9%
Model Edge
+5.6%
Predicted Value

Calibrated Probability & Fair Value

MarketModelModel probabilityImpliedFair OddsEdge
Batter - Runs Scored77.5%71.9%1.29+5.6%

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AI Analysis

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César Prieto Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-256)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

St. Louis Cardinals play Philadelphia Phillies in the MLB. The bet we are looking at is César Prieto Under 0.5 Runs Scored (-256). That is a Runs Scored bet. It was priced at -256 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.91 if it lands. Our model rates this one a strong pick. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

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Pick History & Track Record

Recent formWon 3 of last 3(100%)

Betting angles

4 markets live
Batter - RBIsUpcoming gameU 0.5 -385

César Prieto MLB rbis. Current line U 0.5 at -385.

Batter - Runs ScoredUpcoming gameU 0.5 -256

César Prieto MLB runs scored. Current line U 0.5 at -256.

Batter - SinglesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -179

César Prieto MLB singles. Current line U 0.5 at -179.

Batter - DoublesUpcoming gameU 0.5 -833

César Prieto MLB doubles. Current line U 0.5 at -833.

DateMatchupMarketLinePickOdds (US)Result
08 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Doubles 0.5 Under -833 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - Hits + Runs + RBIs 1.5 Under -167 ✓ HIT
08 Aug 26 Colorado Rockies @ St. Louis Cardinals Batter - RBIs 0.5 Under -345 ✓ HIT

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About This Player

César Prieto is tracked by the Bet Better model for MLB player prop betting. The latest model pick for César Prieto is Under 0.5 on Batter - Runs Scored. The model identifies a moderate positive edge of +5.6% on this pick. Their next game is Philadelphia Phillies vs St. Louis Cardinals on Monday 10 August at Busch Stadium, St. Louis. Review the full pick history and AI analysis above to inform your MLB betting strategy.

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