Zack Littell (TBR) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-417)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Zack Littell's performance data supports the bet for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market. His last five overall and away games show an average of 4.2 strikeouts, which is significantly higher than the line of 2.5. Additionally, his average innings pitched (IP) in these games is above 5, indicating he typically stays in the game long enough to achieve more than 2.5 strikeouts. Even when considering his performance against the Minnesota Twins specifically, his strikeout average is 3.2, still over the betting line. Although his current hit streak is zero, his consistent past performance suggests a high probability of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game.

Josh Lowe (TBR) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-667)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Betting on Josh Lowe for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a statistically sound choice. Lowe's recent performance data shows a consistent lack of stolen bases. In his last five games overall, his stolen base average is zero. This trend continues when examining his last five away games, where his stolen base average also remains at zero. Furthermore, his average caught stealing (Cs) rate is zero in both overall and away games, suggesting he isn't even attempting to steal bases. Although his current hit streak is impressive, it doesn't translate into stolen bases. His hit rate doesn't impact this particular bet as it's focused on stolen bases. Therefore, based on Lowe's recent performances and trends, it is reasonable to bet on him not stealing a base in this game.

Harrison Bader (MIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-833)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 stolen bases bet for Harrison Bader in the Minnesota Twins vs Tampa Bay Rays game is a promising choice, primarily due to Bader's recent performance data. His last five overall and home batting stolen base averages are at 0 and 0.2 respectively, indicating a low frequency of stolen bases. Additionally, his average caught stealing (Cs) rates against the opposition and at home are at 0.2 and 0, respectively, suggesting that he rarely attempts to steal bases. Furthermore, his stolen base average against this specific opponent, the Rays, is also at 0, implying that he is even less likely to steal bases in this matchup. Despite his current hit streaks, his past performance suggests a low probability of achieving a stolen base in this game. Hence, the under 0.5 bet is statistically sound.

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