Xavier Edwards (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-244)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Miami Marlins face off against the Cincinnati Reds, all eyes should be on Xavier Edwards when considering the ‘Under 1.5’ for his hits. Despite some flashes of potential, Edwards has struggled lately, with a batting average hovering around the Mendoza line in recent games. The Reds' pitching staff, particularly their ace, has been formidable, allowing the fewest hits in the league over the last month. Moreover, Miami has been prone to striking out, and with a high strikeout rate against right-handed pitchers, it’s tough to see Edwards finding consistency at the plate today. When you factor in the pressure of facing a top-tier pitcher in this early-season matchup, the likelihood of him registering two hits feels slim. Betting on the under here capitalizes on both his current form and the Reds' strong pitching, making it a compelling angle for today’s game.

Sal Stewart (NA) Under 1.5 Hits (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Marlins gear up to face the Reds, all eyes should be on Sal Stewart—though not necessarily for a hitting bonanza. The young slugger has been struggling to find his rhythm lately, managing just a handful of hits in recent outings. With a projected output of under 0.6 hits against a Marlins pitching staff that has been effective at home, the under on 1.5 hits for Stewart seems like the right call. Moreover, Miami’s arms have shown a knack for controlling the game, particularly against right-handed hitters, which is where Stewart falls. The Marlins have also been hot, riding a wave of momentum with their recent performances. Add in the pressure of a solid Reds bullpen, and it becomes clear that Stewart could find himself stymied at the plate. Given the context and recent trends, betting the under here feels like a smart move.

Xavier Edwards (NA) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-152)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Miami Marlins host the Cincinnati Reds, all eyes will be on Xavier Edwards, particularly when it comes to his total bases. While Edwards has shown flashes of potential, recent trends suggest he may struggle against the Reds’ sharp pitching. With a batting average hovering just above .250 and a tendency to chase pitches outside the zone, the odds seem stacked against him reaching that 1.5 total bases threshold. The Reds’ starter has been effective at limiting extra-base hits, boasting a solid strikeout rate that could frustrate Edwards. Plus, Edwards' recent performance reveals a concerning trend—he's recorded fewer than two total bases in several of his last outings. Given the statistical narrative and the implied probabilities at play, betting on the under here feels like a wise decision. If the Marlins can’t find their rhythm, we might just see Edwards fall short of that mark once again.

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