On Saturday 1 August 2026, Marcin Tybura takes on Aleksandar Rakic in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Marcin Tybura to Win, priced at +300 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Marcin Tybura to Win (+300)

Odds available at Betfair at time of publishing

Marcin Tybura is facing Aleksandar Rakic in a fight where both have a solid chance of winning. Tybura is known for his toughness and grappling skills, so if he can take the fight to the ground, he might have the upper hand. Rakic is a strong striker, so he'll want to keep it standing and land powerful shots. This should be a close match, and while Tybura is seen as an underdog, he has the skills to surprise everyone. Just remember, anything can happen in a fight, so don't expect a sure win. It was priced at +300 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $40 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Marcin Tybura +7.5 on the Line (-110)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

In the UFC fight between Marcin Tybura and Aleksandar Rakic, I'm picking Marcin Tybura to keep the score within 7.5 points. Tybura is a solid striker and likes to keep things close, which means he could put up a good fight against Rakic. Rakic is a tough opponent, known for his striking power, but if Tybura can stick to his game plan and avoid getting caught, he might just keep it close. This is a tough matchup, so while I think Tybura has a decent shot, don't expect it to be an easy win. It was priced at -110 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $19.10 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Marcin Tybura: last five L-L-W-W-L, dropped the last 2, 11% of career wins came by knockout, 124 days since the last fight
  • Aleksandar Rakic: last five L-L-L-L-W, dropped the last 4, 10% of career wins came by knockout, 278 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Marcin Tybura v Aleksandar Rakic. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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