On Saturday 1 August 2026, Jan Blachowicz takes on Navajo Stirling in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Navajo Stirling -5.5 on the Line, priced at +100 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Navajo Stirling -5.5 on the Line (+100)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

Navajo Stirling has a solid chance to win against Jan Blachowicz. Stirling is known for his fast strikes and strong grappling skills, which could give him the upper hand in this fight. If he can keep the pressure on Blachowicz and avoid getting into a slugfest, he should be able to win by a decent margin. Our numbers suggest that a spread of -5.5 is reasonable, but remember, anything can happen in the octagon, so no promises here. It's a good pick, but be ready for surprises! It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jan Blachowicz to Win (+270)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Jan Blachowicz is a tough fighter known for his striking skills, which could really come in handy in this matchup against Navajo Stirling. Blachowicz has a solid chance to win, especially if he can keep the fight standing and land his powerful punches. Stirling usually likes to take the fight to the ground, so if Blachowicz can avoid that and use his striking to his advantage, he has a real shot. Betting on him as the underdog might feel risky, but sometimes the biggest surprises come from unexpected places. Just remember, anything can happen in the octagon! It was priced at +270 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $37 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Jan Blachowicz: last five L-L-W-L-W, dropped the last 2, 12% of career wins came by knockout, 495 days since the last fight
  • Navajo Stirling: last five W-W-W-W-W, on a 6-fight win streak, 30% of career wins came by knockout, 40 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Jan Blachowicz v Navajo Stirling. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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