Los Angeles Chargers vs Minnesota Vikings : NA Moneyline (+145)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on the Minnesota Vikings in the head-to-head (h2h) market is primarily because of their superior performance metrics compared to their opponent. The Vikings have a positive point difference in the last five games overall (+3.4), indicating they score more than they concede. Conversely, their opponent has negative point differentials both overall (-5.8) and at home (-3). Despite having similar turnover rates, the Vikings have performed better in terms of Expected Points Added (EPA). Their overall performance shows a positive EPA difference (2.13), signifying they create more advantageous situations than their opponent, who has a negative EPA difference (-7.16). Moreover, the Vikings show better performance in reducing their opponents' explosive plays, with a lower explosive rate against (0.183) compared to their opponent's (0.231). Finally, the Vikings have a winning record against their opponent in their last five encounters (1-0), providing an edge in terms of

Ladd McConkey (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+155)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Ladd McConkey to score a touchdown at any time during the Chargers versus Vikings game seems to be a risky proposition based on the player's recent performance statistics. McConkey hasn't scored a touchdown in his last five games, both overall and at home. In fact, his success rate for touchdowns is low across the board, with only one touchdown in his last 10 games overall, two out of 10 at home, three in his last 20 overall and four out of 12 at home. His overall touchdown rate is just 5 out of 24 games, and 4 out of 12 at home. Furthermore, his current hit streaks are zero for both overall and at home. While the model edge of 0.109837978475588 suggests a slight advantage, it's not substantial enough to confidently bet on McConkey scoring a touchdown in this game.

Quentin Johnston (LAC) Yes Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+155)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting rationale for Quentin Johnston scoring a touchdown at any time during the Chargers vs Vikings game is not strong, based on his recent performance and trends. His overall hit rate is 9/39, suggesting he only scores in approximately 23% of his games. Furthermore, he has not scored in his last 5 games, indicating a current dry spell. His performance at home is also lackluster with a hit rate of 4/20, and when playing against the Vikings, he has never scored (0/1). His recent hit rate is even more concerning, with a 0/10 score, indicating a downward trend. The model edge of 0.109837978475588, although positive, is also relatively low, further suggesting the riskiness of this bet. Therefore, based on his past performance and current trends, betting on Quentin Johnston to score a touchdown anytime during the game seems statistically unwise.

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