On Sunday 16 August 2026, Jalin Turner takes on Kauê Fernandes in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Kauê Fernandes to Win, priced at +139 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Kauê Fernandes to Win (+139)

Odds available at Sportsbet at time of publishing

Kaue Fernandes is my pick to win against Jalin Turner. Kaue is known for his solid grappling skills, which could really help him control the fight. If he can take Turner to the ground and keep him there, he has a good chance of winning. While Turner is a strong striker, if Kaue can avoid the big punches and stick to his game plan, he might just pull off the victory. This isn't a sure thing, but it looks promising based on the way both fighters match up. It was priced at +139 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23.90 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Kauê Fernandes +3.5 on the Line (+100)

Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing

This fight between Jalin Turner and Kaue Fernandes looks pretty even, kind of like flipping a coin. Kaue is a solid wrestler, so if he can take Turner to the ground, he might control the fight and stay close on points. Turner is a striker, which means he'll try to keep it standing and land some big hits. Betting on Kaue to win by 3.5 points seems like a decent move since he has a good shot at keeping it tight. Just remember, anything can happen in the cage, so be ready for surprises! It was priced at +100 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $20 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model leans this way without loving it. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Jalin Turner: last five W-L-L-W-L, on a 1-fight win streak, 21% of career wins came by knockout, 250 days since the last fight
  • Kauê Fernandes: last five W-W-W-L, on a 3-fight win streak, 15% of career wins came by knockout, 341 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Jalin Turner v Kauê Fernandes. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

Unlock the rest of this one

You're reading the free preview. One plan unlocks the full article and every pick we back — every league, every day.

Unlock the full article