Luis Severino (ATH) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-1000)

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Luis Severino's recent performance data indicates a strong possibility of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in the upcoming game. Looking at his last five games, his overall average for strikeouts is 4.4, comfortably exceeding the 2.5 line. Even when focusing on away games, his average remains high at 5.2. His innings pitched (IP) averages also suggest he will be on the mound long enough to achieve the required strikeouts, with an overall IP average of 6.4 and an away IP average of 5.6. His performance against the Houston Astros is also favorable, with an average of 4.2 strikeouts in the last five games. While his current hit streak is at zero, his historical averages suggest a strong likelihood of achieving over 2.5 strikeouts in this game.

Luis Severino (ATH) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-667)

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Luis Severino, pitching for the Oakland Athletics, has consistently allowed walks in his last five games. His overall average walks allowed is 2, with 1.4 walks on average in away games. When facing the Houston Astros, he has allowed an average of 1.8 walks. Even when considering his best performance, which is during away games, he still allows more than 0.5 walks on average. This trend is expected to continue given his consistent past performance. Furthermore, his innings pitched and outs averages indicate that he spends a good amount of time on the mound, providing ample opportunity for walks to occur. Therefore, betting on Severino to allow over 0.5 walks is a statistically sound choice.

Yainer Diaz (HOU) Under 1.5 Hits (-263)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Yainer Diaz for Under 1.5 in the Batter Hits market is a solid choice, primarily due to Diaz's recent performance data. Over his last five games, Diaz is averaging 0.8 hits per game, both overall and at home, which is significantly below the line of 1.5. His plate appearances also average out to 3.4, indicating a lower opportunity to score hits. Despite a current hit streak, Diaz's hit average against the Athletics is 1.2, still below our line. Furthermore, his home hit average is 1.4, which while higher, is still under the bet line. This consistent performance below the 1.5 line across various scenarios provides a strong rationale for this bet. The statistical data indicates Diaz is more likely to hit under 1.5 in the upcoming game against the Athletics.

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