Jared Goff (DET) Over 24.5 Player rush yds alternate (+2500)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Despite a model edge of 0.193, the historical data for Jared Goff does not support a bet on him rushing for over 24.5 yards in the game against the Dallas Cowboys. Goff's records show a consistent inability to hit this mark. His overall hit rate is 0/67, which means he's never surpassed 24.5 rushing yards in his entire career. His home hit rate is equally poor, standing at 0/35. When playing against the Cowboys specifically, his hit rate remains at 0, through 3 games. His current hit streaks for overall, home, and versus Dallas are all zero as well. Therefore, despite a seemingly favorable statistical model edge, historical trends heavily suggest against expecting Goff to exceed 24.5 rushing yards in the game.

Tom Kennedy (DET) Over 30.5 Receiving Yards (-110)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Statistical analysis of Tom Kennedy's recent performance and trends suggests a low probability of him surpassing 30.5 reception yards in the upcoming game against the Dallas Cowboys. Kennedy's hit rates over various periods all indicate a trend of underperformance. His overall hit rate over the last 20 games is 2/7, showing he only surpassed the 30.5-yard mark less than 30% of the time. In home games, his hit rate is even lower at 1/4. Against Dallas, he has never hit the over in his last encounter. Furthermore, Kennedy is currently on a non-hit streak in all categories (overall, home, vs Dallas), suggesting a lack of upward momentum. Although the model predicts a marginal edge for the over bet, the underlying data doesn't support this outcome. Therefore, betting on Kennedy to go 'Over' 30.5 reception yards may not be a statistically sound decision.

Tom Kennedy (DET) Over 14.5 Player reception yds alternate (-345)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

A bet on Tom Kennedy for Over 14.5 in the 'player_reception_yds_alternate' market for the Detroit Lions vs Dallas Cowboys game may not seem promising given his recent performance. Kennedy's overall hit rate over his last 20 games is only 3/7, demonstrating a lack of consistency. Furthermore, his hit streak is currently at zero, and he has not performed well against the Cowboys in the past, with a 0/1 hit rate. However, when playing at home, Kennedy's hit rate improves to 2/4. This indicates that he performs better on home turf, which could potentially give him an edge in the upcoming game. Additionally, the model edge of 0.104 suggests there is a slight advantage in favor of this bet. Despite this, considering Kennedy's overall performance and current form, this bet carries a high level of risk.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro