On Friday 14 August 2026, Connecticut Sun play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA. Our model likes 5 bets here. The one it likes most is Connecticut Sun +23.5 on the Line, priced at -769 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.
Connecticut Sun +23.5 on the Line (-769)
Odds available at FanDuel at time of publishing
As the Connecticut Sun prepare to host the Atlanta Dream at Mohegan Sun Arena, the stage is set for a compelling clash. The Sun come in with a well-rounded roster that thrives on a fast-paced style, putting immense pressure on opposing defenses. With their ability to push the tempo, they can exploit Atlanta's vulnerabilities, especially given the Dream's struggles in transition. While the model suggests a tight contest, the environment in Connecticut-where the Sun enjoy a significant home-court advantage-could tip the scales. The Dream often struggle against teams that can capitalize on their lapses, and the Sun's defensive intensity might just stifle Atlanta's scoring opportunities. Expect Connecticut to not just cover, but to stretch the margin, making the alternate spread of 23.5 a tantalizing bet in this matchup. The combination of pace and home dominance could lead to a decisive victory for the Sun. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Under 192.5 Total Points (-769)
Odds available at DraftKings at time of publishing
As the Connecticut Sun prepare to host the Atlanta Dream at Mohegan Sun Arena, expect a clash that leans heavily towards the defensive end. Both teams have showcased a penchant for grinding out games, and with their contrasting styles, we're likely to see a slower pace that stifles scoring. The Sun thrive on controlling the tempo, often suffocating opponents with their disciplined defense. Meanwhile, the Dream have struggled to find consistent offensive rhythm this season, making it tough to imagine them keeping pace in a high-scoring affair. Our model suggests a combined total closer to 163.7 points, which is a clear nod to the defensive nature of this matchup. With both squads prioritizing defense and the stakes high, the under feels like the shrewd play here. Expect a physical game that could very well fall short of that lofty 192.5 mark. It was priced at -769 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $11.30 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetRivers at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Friday 14 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Jordin Canada Over 7.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -149 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.70 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Brittney Griner Over 18.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists (-213)
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Friday 14 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brittney Griner Over 18.5 Points, Rebounds and Assists. That is a player points, rebounds and assists combined bet. It was priced at -213 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.70 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
Odds available at BetOnline at time of publishing
Connecticut Sun play Atlanta Dream in the WNBA on Friday 14 August 2026. The bet we are looking at is Brionna Jones Under 2.5 Assists. That is a player assists bet. It was priced at -145 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $16.90 if it lands. It is on at Mohegan Sun Arena in Connecticut. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.
That is how our model reads Connecticut Sun v Atlanta Dream. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.
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