Chase Brown (CIN) Under 21.5 Receiving Yards (-111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Chase Brown's recent performance suggests he is unlikely to exceed 21.5 reception yards in the upcoming game against the Arizona Cardinals. Over his last five games, Brown failed to hit the 21.5 reception yard mark, reflected in his 0/5 overall hit rate. His performance at home has been equally lackluster, with another 0/5 hit rate. Although he managed to exceed the mark the last time he played against the Cardinals (1/1 hit rate), his current form doesn't instill much confidence. Furthermore, his long-term performance record also leans towards the under, as his overall hit rate is less than 50% (17/41). Also, his current hit streak for both overall and home games is zero, which indicates no momentum. Considering these factors, betting under 21.5 for Brown's reception yards seems statistically justified.

Joe Burrow (CIN) Over 19.5 Player rush yds alternate (+525)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Joe Burrow to rush for over 19.5 yards in the game between Cincinnati Bengals and Arizona Cardinals seems to be a risky proposition based on historical data. Burrow's overall hit rate is only 21.15% (11 hits in 52 tries), which is quite low. At home, his hit rate is slightly better at 21.74% (5 hits in 23 tries), but still not promising. His hit rate against Arizona is 0%, having not met this mark in their previous meeting. Recent performance trends also don't favor this bet. Burrow hasn't hit this mark in his last 5, 3 or even his most recent game — a concerning downward trend. His overall hit rate in the last 20 games is just 15% (3 hits in 20 tries), suggesting a consistent struggle to reach this yardage. In conclusion, while there's always a chance for an outlier performance, the data suggests betting on Bur

Andrei Iosivas (CIN) Under 1.5 Receptions (-143)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 1.5 receptions bet for Andrei Iosivas is supported by his inconsistent performance at home and overall low hit rate. Iosivas has a home hit rate of 1/3 over the last three games, and 2/5 over the last five, indicating a struggle to meet the reception benchmark in home games. His overall hit rate is slightly better, with 3/5 over the last five games and 5/10 over the last ten, but it's still not consistent enough to confidently predict an over 1.5 outcome. Furthermore, Iosivas' overall hit rate is just above 50% (20/39), again signaling inconsistency. Although he has a current hit streak of 2 overall and 1 at home, his long-term performance data suggests the under 1.5 bet for receptions is statistically more likely to occur in the upcoming game against the Arizona Cardinals.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro