Nick Pivetta (SDP) Over 1.5 Hits Allowed (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Nick Pivetta's recent performance, particularly in away games, supports the bet for Over 1.5 in the Pitcher Hits Allowed market. Over the last five games, Pivetta has averaged 5.2 hits allowed when playing away and even higher, 6 hits, when facing the Cubs. His innings pitched and outs averages also drop while playing away, further indicating a higher likelihood of conceding hits. Additionally, he's on a 9-game streak of allowing more than 1.5 hits in away games, showing a consistent pattern of this outcome. Despite his overall hits allowed average being 3.2, his performance specifically against the Cubs and in away games makes this bet statistically sound.

Nick Pivetta (SDP) Over 0.5 Walks Allowed (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Nick Pivetta for Over 0.5 in the Pitcher Walks Allowed market is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. Pivetta has a consistent record of allowing walks, with an average of 1.4 walks in his last five overall games and 1.8 in his last five away games. His averages increase further when specifically playing against the Cubs, with 2 walks allowed per game. Additionally, his innings pitched (IP) and outs averages are lower when playing away, indicating that he tends to struggle more in these situations. His current hit streaks for both overall and away games further confirm his tendency to allow hits, which can often lead to walks. These statistics collectively suggest a high probability that Pivetta will allow over 0.5 walks in the upcoming game against the Cubs.

Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-714)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet on Nico Hoerner for Batter Stolen Bases is a strong choice, given his recent performance data. Over the last five games, Hoerner's overall and home stolen base averages have been zero. This suggests a lack of recent success in stealing bases, particularly at home where the upcoming game will be held. His average caught stealing (Cs) rate is also relatively low, which indicates that he hasn't been attempting many steals. Furthermore, his performance against the Padres specifically shows a lower stolen base average than his overall average. Despite his impressive hit streaks, these do not directly correlate to stolen bases. Therefore, based on Hoerner's recent lack of stolen bases both overall and at home, as well as his performance against the Padres, the under bet is statistically justified.

See All Our Picks

You're viewing a preview. Subscribe today to unlock the full article and gain access to all our expert insights and best bets - every single day.

Get Bet Better Pro