Andrew Abbott (CIN) Over 2.5 Strikeouts (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Andrew Abbott for Over 2.5 in the Pitcher Strikeouts market is backed by his consistent performance data. Abbott's last five overall games show an average of 6.6 strikeouts, more than double the line set for this bet. Even when focusing on his away games, his average remains above the line at 4.6 strikeouts. His current overall hit streak of 6 games and an away hit streak of 2 games further demonstrate his consistent performance. In games against the Cubs, his strikeout average is 5, again comfortably above the line. Despite his slightly lower innings pitched in away games, his strikeout averages remain high, suggesting his effectiveness is not significantly impacted by the change in location. This consistent performance across different conditions makes the bet a solid choice.

Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Nico Hoerner for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is a good choice due to his recent performance data. Over his last five games, Hoerner has not stolen any bases at home and has averaged only 0.2 stolen bases against the Reds. Additionally, he has been caught stealing 0.2 times per game on average, both at home and against this opponent. Despite his current hit streak, these statistics suggest that Hoerner is not likely to steal a base in the upcoming game. His performance data indicates a low probability of stealing bases, making the Under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

Matt McLain (CIN) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-526)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Matt McLain's stolen bases is a solid choice based on his recent performance data. McLain's last five games overall and away show an average stolen base rate of just 0.2, suggesting he’s not frequently stealing bases. Even when facing the Cubs, his stolen base average only slightly increases to 0.4, still under the line of 0.5. Additionally, his current hit streak both overall and away is only at 1, indicating a lower probability of him being on base to attempt a steal. Furthermore, there's no record of him being caught stealing in recent games, which could suggest a conservative approach to base running. All these factors point towards a low likelihood of McLain stealing a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

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