Nico Hoerner (CHC) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-769)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet for Nico Hoerner's stolen bases is substantiated by his recent performance data. Hoerner's overall and home stolen base averages for the last five games are both zero, indicating that he has not been successful in stealing bases recently. His average caught stealing (CS) rate is also low, suggesting that he hasn't been attempting many steals. Furthermore, his stolen base average against the Red Sox is only 0.2, indicating that the opposition's defense has been effective in limiting his stolen base opportunities. Despite his impressive hit streak, this has not translated into successful base stealing. Therefore, based on these statistics, betting under 0.5 for Hoerner's stolen bases is a rational choice.

Ian Happ (CHC) Over 0.5 Hits (-179)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

Ian Happ's recent performance data indicates a strong likelihood of him achieving over 0.5 hits in the upcoming game against the Boston Red Sox. His overall average of 2.2 hits in the last five games is well above the prop bet line of 0.5. Even at home, his hits average is 1.8, still comfortably above the line. Additionally, his plate appearances (PA) averages both overall and at home (4.8 and 4.2 respectively) suggest he will have ample opportunities to hit. Despite a slightly lower average of 0.8 hits against this specific opponent, the average still backs the bet. Furthermore, Happ is on a hit streak, with two consecutive games of hits overall and three at home. This consistent performance supports the expectation of him achieving at least one hit in the upcoming game.

Ian Happ (CHC) Over 0.5 Hits (-185)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The betting choice of Over 0.5 for Ian Happ in the Batter Hits Alternate market is statistically sound. Happ has an impressive batting average, with his last five overall hits averaging at 2.2 per game and his last five home hits averaging at 1.8, both well above the line of 0.5. Additionally, Happ is currently on a hit streak, with two overall and three at home, indicating consistent performance. His plate appearances also support the bet, averaging 4.8 overall and 4.2 at home, providing him ample opportunities to hit. Although his average hits against the Red Sox are lower (0.8), the averages still favor a hit in the upcoming game. Therefore, based on Happ's recent performance and the number of chances he gets to bat, this bet is a statistically strong choice.

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