Oliver Hollands (Carlton) Over 14.5 Disposals (-500)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Oliver Hollands is a solid bet for Over 14.5 disposals in the upcoming game. With a model predicting him at 21 disposals, indicating a 6.9% edge, and a consistent recent performance, he's likely to surpass the line. In his last 5 home games, he's averaged 20.4 disposals, exceeding the set line comfortably. Against Gold Coast, he's maintained a 18 disposals average, further supporting his capability to hit over 14.5. With a current hit streak of 7 at home and 2 overall, Hollands' form is strong, making this bet a statistically backed choice for AFL betting enthusiasts.

Matt Rowell (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 24.5 Disposals (-208)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Matt Rowell is poised to shine against Carlton at Marvel Stadium based on his recent form. With an impressive L5 average of 25.4 disposals in away games, Rowell's consistency and high disposalefficiency of 71.0% indicate he's likely to exceed the line of 24.5 set by sportsbet. His L5 averages in contestedpossessions and kicks also bode well for a strong performance. Additionally, his L5 vs. Opponent averages of 18 and 18.8 disposals suggest he steps up his game against Carlton. With an overall hit rate of 4/4 and a current hit streak of 1 away game and 4 overall, Rowell's momentum and statistical edge make the Over 24.5 disposals bet a compelling choice with a 16.5% model edge.

Bailey Humphrey (Gold Coast SUNS) Over 0.5 Anytime Goalscorer (-476)

Odds available at sportsbet at time of publishing

Bailey Humphrey is a strong bet to score anytime against Carlton based on his recent form. With an average of 1 goal in his last 5 away games and similar success against Carlton in the past, he consistently delivers. His 28.0% goal accuracy and 6.2 score involvements per game make him a key threat. Additionally, his 1.4 behinds per game show he's getting shots on target, increasing his chances to snag a goal. With an overall goal accuracy of 60.3%, Humphrey's ability to split the middle is reliable. These stats suggest he's likely to hit the scoreboard, making the over 0.5 line a favorable choice for this matchup.

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