On Sunday 23 August 2026, Carli Judice takes on Jeisla Chaves in the UFC. Our model likes 2 bets here. The one it likes most is Carli Judice -7.5 on the Line, priced at -115 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Carli Judice -7.5 on the Line (-115)

Odds available at Bovada at time of publishing

Carli Judice is going up against Jeisla Chaves in a UFC fight, and I think betting on Carli to win by more than 7.5 points is a solid choice. Carli is a strong striker and has shown great skills in finishing fights, while Jeisla might struggle to keep up with that pace. If Carli can control the fight and avoid letting Jeisla get comfortable, she should be able to win comfortably. Just remember, nothing is guaranteed in fighting, but the chances look good for Carli to cover that spread. It was priced at -115 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $18.70 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. The bookmakers have this as a slight favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Jeisla Chaves to Win (+520)

Odds available at Matchbook at time of publishing

Jeisla Chaves is the pick here because she has a good chance to win against Carli Judice. Chaves is known for her strong striking skills, which could give her an advantage in this fight. If she can keep the fight standing and land some solid hits, she might surprise everyone. Judice has her strengths too, but Chaves has the potential to pull off an upset as the underdog. Remember, betting can be unpredictable, so while Chaves has a real shot, there's no guarantee she'll win. It was priced at +520 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $62 if it lands. This is a long shot at the price, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

The tale of the tape:

  • Carli Judice: last five W-W-W-L-L, on a 3-fight win streak, 25% of career wins came by knockout, 180 days since the last fight
  • Jeisla Chaves: last five W-W, on a 2-fight win streak, 0% of career wins came by knockout, 75 days since the last fight

That is how our model reads Carli Judice v Jeisla Chaves. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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