Baltimore Orioles vs New York Yankees Prediction and Same Game Parlay picks, August 18, 2026

As the Orioles host the Yankees, all eyes will be on Heliot Ramos, but taking the under on his total bases might be the savvy move. Ramos has struggled lately, especially against right-handed pitching, posting a low.230 average in his last 15 games. With the Yankees sending their ace to the mound, who boasts a solid 3.10 ERA, the chances of him finding gaps in the outfield diminish significantly. The Yankees’ pitching staff has been in top form, limiting opponents to just under four runs per game this month. Moreover, the Orioles’ lineup tends to go cold against elite pitchers, and with Ramos facing a tough matchup, his opportunities to rack up total bases will likely be few and far between. Given these trends, betting the under on Ramos’ total bases feels like a smart play in this pivotal matchup.

Spencer Jones Under 0.5 Hits (+112)

As the Orioles gear up to host the Yankees, keep an eye on Spencer Jones and consider betting on him to stay under 0.5 hits. The young outfielder has shown flashes of promise, but he’s facing a formidable Orioles pitching staff that’s been in fine form lately, boasting a stellar strikeout rate. With Baltimore’s pitchers limiting opposing batters’ contact, they’ve effectively stymied even the most potent lineups. Jones has struggled against left-handed pitching, and he’ll be up against a crafty southpaw who’s been adept at exploiting weaknesses. Recent trends show that the Yankees have had difficulty generating consistent offense—especially on the road—where their batting average dips significantly. With the odds favoring the under and the model suggesting a low probability of Jones finding success at the plate, this matchup could very well see him come up empty. Trust the trends and go with the under on his hits.

Pete Alonso (NYM) Under 1.5 Total Bases (-172)

As the Orioles face the Yankees on August 18th, all eyes will be on Pete Alonso, but the smart money may lean toward the "Under" on his total bases. Despite his power, Alonso has been navigating a rough patch, struggling against left-handed pitchers lately. The Orioles’ starter, a crafty southpaw, has been effective at neutralizing right-handed bats, boasting a 2.95 ERA against them this season. With the Yankees batting lineup uncharacteristically quiet in recent weeks, Alonso might find himself facing fewer opportunities to rack up those bases. Moreover, Baltimore’s defense has tightened up, allowing just 3.5 runs per game at home. Given Alonso’s recent trends and the matchups at play, it seems likely he’ll be limited in his opportunities on the diamond. Betting the "Under 1.5" on his total bases feels like the prudent choice in this matchup.

That is the whole read. Every leg above is our own number against the price on the board at the time we wrote this, and the price can move before you get on. Bet what you can afford to lose. If betting stops being fun, take a break.