Tyler Freeman (COL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The bet on Tyler Freeman for Under 0.5 in the Batter Stolen Bases market is statistically sound. Freeman's recent performance data indicates a low propensity for stolen bases. His last five overall games show an average of only 0.2 stolen bases, and when playing away, this average drops to zero. Furthermore, his stolen base average against the Atlanta Braves is also 0.2. The data also suggests that Freeman is not frequently caught stealing, with a zero average in overall and away games, which further implies his cautious base running approach. Despite his impressive away hit streak of 13 games, this has not translated into stolen bases. Therefore, the under bet is supported by Freeman's recent performance, indicating a low likelihood of him stealing a base in the upcoming game.

Michael Harris II (ATL) Under 0.5 Stolen Bases (-1000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The under 0.5 bet on Michael Harris II's stolen bases is a solid choice based on his recent performance. His last five games have seen an average of just 0.4 stolen bases, whether playing at home or overall. Against the Rockies, his stolen base average drops even further to just 0.2. Furthermore, the Rockies have caught an average of 0.2 base stealers per game in their last five matchups, indicating their competence at limiting stolen bases. Although Harris II is on a hit streak, his stolen base averages do not correlate with this improvement. Thus, the data suggests it's unlikely he will steal a base in the upcoming game, making the under 0.5 bet a statistically sound choice.

Atlanta Braves vs Colorado Rockies : Atlanta Braves Win (-357)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

The Atlanta Braves are favored in this Moneyline market due to their strong recent performance, particularly at home. Over their last five games, the Braves have a 4-1 record both overall and at home, indicating consistent success. Furthermore, they've also won four out of the last five matchups against the Colorado Rockies. Their offensive performance has been superior, averaging 5.2 runs per game compared to the Rockies' 4.3 overall and 3 on the road. Defensively, the Braves have allowed fewer runs on average (3.6) than the Rockies have on the road (4.8). This overall superior performance in both offense and defense makes the Braves a statistically sound bet for this game.

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