Jonah Heim (TEX) Under 1.5 Doubles (-1111)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Athletics gear up to face the Rockies, all eyes will be on Jonah Heim, particularly in the doubles department. While Heim has certainly shown flashes of brilliance at the plate, recent trends suggest that he might struggle to find that extra-base gap tonight. The Rockies’ pitching staff has been surprisingly effective, boasting a solid strikeout rate and limiting extra-base hits, especially against right-handed batters like Heim. Moreover, Heim’s recent form hasn’t been stellar; he’s been hitting a lot of ground balls, which play right into the hands of a Rockies infield that’s been solid with their gloves. With the projected total of doubles sitting under 1.5, it feels like a wise move to bank on Heim being contained. The combination of a potent Rockies defense and Heim’s current hitting trends makes the under a compelling play in this matchup.

Nick Kurtz (NA) Under 2.5 Hits (-233)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Athletics prepare to face the Rockies, all eyes should be on Nick Kurtz and his recent struggles at the plate. Despite the excitement of the game, Kurtz has found himself in a tough spot against left-handed pitching, which the Rockies will employ. With a batting average that’s been sliding, the prospect of him collecting more than 2.5 hits feels unlikely. Consider the Rockies’ pitching staff; they’ve been effective in limiting opponents' hits, particularly in crucial situations. Over the last few weeks, they’ve shown a knack for keeping hitters in check, especially against rising stars like Kurtz. With a model predicting just 0.56 hits for him, it’s clear the odds are stacked against a breakout performance today. Betting the under on Kurtz’s hits not only seems prudent but aligns with the recent trends we’ve observed. In this matchup, it’s safe to say that less is more for Kurtz at the plate.

Jonah Heim (TEX) Under 1.5 Walks (-476)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Athletics gear up to face the Rockies, all eyes should be on Jonah Heim when considering the 'Under 1.5' walks. Heim, despite showing flashes of plate discipline, has struggled to draw walks consistently this season. With the Rockies' pitching staff, particularly their starters, demonstrating an aggressive approach on the mound, it’s unlikely he’ll find many free passes today. Moreover, Heim's recent form highlights his tendency to put the ball in play rather than wait for the walk. Facing pitchers who can command the zone effectively, like the Rockies' latest arms, often leads to more contact situations for hitters. When you blend Heim's current walk rate with the Rockies' penchant for attacking hitters early in counts, the under on walks seems like the smart play. With a model predicting just 0.11 walks, it aligns perfectly with the narrative of an aggressive game ahead.

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