On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters play Dolphins in the NRL. Our model likes 4 bets here. The one it likes most is Over 38.5 Total Points, priced at -286 when we wrote this. Here is the thinking behind each pick, in plain English.

Over 38.5 Total Points (-286)

Odds available at Neds at time of publishing

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Over 38.5 Total Points. This wins if the two sides score more than 38.5 points between them. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -286 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.50 if it lands. That price was showing at Neds. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -286 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $13.50 if it lands. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dolphins +13.5 on the Line (-227)

Odds available at Neds at time of publishing

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dolphins 13.5 Line. On this line Dolphins start with 13.5 points in hand, so they can lose by less than that and this still wins. This is one of the bookmaker's alternate lines, not the main one, so the price is different. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. That price was showing at Neds. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at -227 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $14.40 if it lands. The number next to the team is the handicap, and that team's score is adjusted by it before the bet is settled. This is an alternate line, so it is not the main number on the board and the price moves with it. The bookmakers have this as a clear favourite. Our model likes this one a lot. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dolphins to Win the First Half (+130)

Odds available at Neds at time of publishing

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dolphins First Half Match Winner. This one only needs Dolphins to be in front at half time. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. That price was showing at Neds. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +130 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $23 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

Dolphins to Win (+175)

Odds available at Neds at time of publishing

On Saturday 29 August 2026, Sydney Roosters host Dolphins in the NRL. The bet we are looking at is Dolphins Match Winner. This one only needs Dolphins to win the game. It was priced at +175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27.50 if it lands. That price was showing at Neds. Our model has this one as a long shot, so keep the bet small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move. It was priced at +175 when we wrote this, so a $10 bet returns $27.50 if it lands. This one is priced as an outside chance. Our model has this as a long shot, so keep the stake small. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back it. And if this one does not feel right to you, skipping it is a perfectly good move.

That is how our model reads Sydney Roosters v Dolphins. Prices move, so check the price at your bookmaker before you back anything. And if a game does not feel right to you, the strongest move is to skip it -- there is another one tomorrow.

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