Winning baseball bets for Seattle Mariners vs Toronto Blue Jays? We break down odds and insights. Featuring picks like NA props. Explore same game parlay, SGP picks, MLB parlay odds, baseball parlay.
Sean Keys (TOR) Under 1.5 Doubles (-5000)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Mariners gear up to host the Blue Jays on July 4th, all eyes should be on Sean Keys in the Batter Doubles market. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance this season, a closer look reveals a trend leaning towards the ‘Under’ on his doubles. The Mariners' pitching staff has been particularly stingy, allowing just a .290 slugging percentage against left-handed hitters. With Keys facing a solid lefty, his chances of finding gaps in the outfield diminish. Moreover, the Blue Jays are struggling to find consistent power on the road, which could further stifle Keys' ability to hit a double. The projected probability of him hitting under 1.5 doubles is nearly 98%, which speaks volumes about the matchup's dynamics. Given these factors, betting on Keys to finish below that mark feels like a savvy play, especially in a game where every hit will matter.
Sean Keys (TOR) Under 1.5 Runs Scored (-1111)
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Mariners host the Blue Jays, all eyes will be on Sean Keys, but betting on him to score more than 1.5 runs feels a bit risky. Seattle’s pitching staff has been downright formidable lately, boasting a 2.89 ERA over the past month. With ace-level performances from their bullpen, they're particularly adept at shutting down opposing batters, making it tough for anyone to cross home plate. On the flip side, Toronto's offense has struggled to find its rhythm, especially against left-handed pitchers. Keys, while talented, has faced consistent challenges in similar matchups. With the Mariners riding a wave of momentum and their pitchers dialed in, expect a low-scoring affair. The odds of him scoring more than once seem slim, making the ‘Under 1.5’ an enticing option for this matchup. Trust the trends; the numbers back it up.
Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing
As the Mariners welcome the Blue Jays to T-Mobile Park, all eyes should be on Vladimir Guerrero Jr. While he’s undoubtedly a powerhouse at the plate, recent trends suggest he might struggle to drive in runs in this matchup. The Mariners’ pitching staff has been surprisingly stingy, boasting a solid 3.50 ERA at home, and they’ve shown a knack for neutralizing big hitters like Guerrero. Moreover, over the last week, Guerrero has seen his average dip, and the Blue Jays offense has been inconsistent, which could further hinder his chances of racking up RBIs. With the Mariners’ bullpen also performing admirably, the likelihood of Guerrero surpassing that 1.5 mark seems bleak. Given the historical context and current form, leaning towards the under on Guerrero’s RBIs feels like the prudent play. Sometimes, even the best hitters have off nights, and this could be one of them.
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