Bryce Harper (PHI) Under 2.5 Doubles (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants gear up to face the Phillies, all eyes will be on Bryce Harper, but a closer look suggests he might fall short of the doubles mark. Harper has been battling inconsistency at the plate, especially against left-handed pitching, and with the Giants set to start a crafty lefty, this could spell trouble for him. Over his last ten games, Harper has only managed to hit two doubles, which puts him well below the expected line of 2.5. The Giants’ defense has also been stellar, boasting one of the lowest extra-base hit rates against lefties this season. Add in the fact that Harper tends to struggle when facing pitchers with deceptive mechanics, and it’s hard to envision him racking up extra-base hits tonight. Betting the under here aligns nicely with the trend that suggests he might not find the gaps in Oracle Park.

Justin Crawford (NA) Under 1.5 Doubles (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants and Phillies clash in San Francisco, all eyes will be on Justin Crawford. While he’s shown flashes of brilliance this season, the numbers suggest tonight may not be his night for finding the gaps. The Giants' stellar pitching staff, particularly their lefty ace, has been a nightmare for opposing hitters, allowing just a mere .290 slugging percentage against left-handed batters. Crawford’s recent struggles against southpaws have led to a dip in his extra-base hit production, making the under on his doubles a tantalizing play. Additionally, the Giants have excelled at home, and with the wind potentially swirling at Oracle Park, the odds of Crawford hitting multiple doubles seem slim. Given his current form and the Giants' pitching prowess, betting under 1.5 doubles feels like a prudent decision. It's all about the narrative, and tonight, it suggests a quieter outing for Crawford.

Willy Adames (MIL) Under 1.5 Doubles (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Giants host the Phillies on April 8, keep an eye on Willy Adames’ double output. With the lefty-heavy Giants’ bullpen ready to roll, it’s tough sledding for right-handed hitters like Adames. He’s been finding it challenging to produce extra-base hits lately, particularly against pitchers who can get ahead in counts. The Giants' pitching staff has been stingy, allowing just 0.89 doubles per game—one of the best rates in the league. Adames, meanwhile, has averaged under one double per game in his last few outings, making that 1.5 line feel overly ambitious. Given Adames' recent slump and the Giants' knack for suppressing extra-base hits, betting the under on his doubles feels like a prudent move. With a 95.2% implied probability, this is one angle you can confidently ride as the teams take the field.

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