Nathaniel Lowe (TEX) Under 2.5 Walks (-588)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres gear up to face the Reds, keep an eye on Nathaniel Lowe's walk total, particularly with the line set at 2.5. Lowe’s recent performance has been a bit of a mixed bag; while he has shown the ability to get on base, he’s been more aggressive at the plate lately, swinging at pitches rather than taking walks. The Reds' pitching staff, while not without its flaws, has shown a knack for limiting free passes, particularly against left-handed hitters, which is where Lowe usually finds himself. With a strong emphasis on attacking the zone, we can expect pitchers to challenge him more than allow him to sit back and wait for walks. Considering Lowe’s walk rate has dipped recently, an under on his walks seems like a savvy play. In a game where every at-bat counts, he might just end up swinging for the fences instead of taking a base.

Sal Stewart (CIN) Under 2.5 Walks (-625)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres host the Reds on June 10, all eyes will be on rookie Sal Stewart, who’s been trending under the radar in terms of drawing walks. With a line set at 2.5, it’s worth noting that Stewart has only managed to coax a walk in about 19% of his plate appearances this season. The Padres' pitching staff, especially their bullpen, has been exceptional at limiting free passes, ranking among the top teams in the league in walk rate. Given that San Diego's pitchers often keep hitters aggressive, it’s unlikely that Stewart will find the patience necessary to notch three walks in a single game. With the odds leaning heavily toward the under, it feels like a shrewd play to bet on Stewart staying below that 2.5 mark. The combination of the Padres' formidable pitching and Stewart's current struggles makes this a compelling underplay.

Bryce Johnson (NA) Under 1.5 Stolen Bases (-2000)

Odds available at draftkings at time of publishing

As the Padres gear up to face the Reds, all eyes will be on Bryce Johnson, but betting on him to swipe more than 1.5 bases seems a stretch. Johnson has shown flashes of speed, yet he’s been mired in a slump lately, with only a handful of attempts in his last few outings. The Padres’ aggressive approach to base running has cooled, particularly with the Reds' pitching staff managing to keep opponents’ running games in check. Cincinnati's pitchers, particularly their right-handers, have been adept at holding runners close, with impressive pickoff moves and solid delivery times. Plus, the Padres’ recent trend of playing conservatively with base runners suggests they might prioritize scoring over stealing. With the implications of a low success rate and a focus on cautious play, taking the under on Bryce Johnson’s stolen bases feels like the savvy move here.

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